Price Suggestion
~420 keys
secret
Unusual Tough Stuff Muffs It's a Secret to Everybody
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Requested by Quagmire


https://marketplace.tf/items/984;5;u46

sold for ~270 keys.


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045724394#!/compare/1523750400/1524873600

should probably be used to price the GE KE

    Sticking to the facts, I had it listed for about 2 months, starting at around 400 keys and dropping it steadily to around 330 by the time someone offered 270 on it, and I took it. I didn't really receive any specific unusual offers I can recall, but I've been pretty adamant that I'm only interested in pure or cash since putting it up for sale and that tends to drive down the interested parties significantly.


    On opinion, 270 might be low if a secret brown bomber can have a reasonable open suggestion for 350+, which isn't 1 of 1 and is probably a lower albeit similar price point.

      Yeah sadly u can find many many good unusuals on marketplace for cheaper than their price, not because they are bad or not demanded, but because people need easy cash and marketplace is a great option. If people will start pricing unusuals based on marketplace unsolds or actual sales, many unusuals will easily drop though they obviously dont deserve it whatsoever, a good example will be a clean Burning Flames Pyromancer's Mask which has been for ages on marketplace for 500 dollars, which is under the current backpack.tf price, however i sold lately a Burning Pyromancer's for a GE Rack, Ghosts Rack and 50 keys ( all clean ) which is clearly way more, and other sellers on classifieds like TonyBarreta goy offered more thab 350 in items, as they told me. Marketplace sometimes is tricky, but either way any experienced trader can tell 270 keys for 1 of 1 Secret Muffs seems to be very low and incorrect, and i am not saying it because i currently own it ( i mean i do want to defend my unusual but i would say the same thing if someone else would own it, because it is clearly low).

        I'm not an experienced trader tbh. But I do know a few things about suggestions. Since backpack.tf aims to get a representation of what an unusual will sell for pure, I think the suggestion is fine. If it takes time for an unusual to sell at 270 and doesn't sell at 400 or 330 keys then it should be noted that the current price isn't too accurate. If the sale is truly an outlier there should be more be more sales to support it. If there is something to prove that the unusual was quicksold or that the sale is an outlier I'd be ok with closing it. If you are an experienced trader and it is low I don't think there is a problem with you selling it for higher and countering this suggestion.

          I did recieve an offer of at least 400 in downgrades, and i rejected it ( uploaded a picture of the offer in the comments ), maybe i could agree the current price isnt very accurate in fact i say it might be even quit low considering its a decent hat, and secret is usually among the leaders ( the sale around half year ago supports this ) but yeah 270 just feels absolutely wrong, if there is something that is better, is to re-price the muffs based on the GE KE sale, cause cash sales on marketplace sometimes not the best thing to rely on, eapecially not in this case.

          Hats are really only worth what people will pay for them in cash, so when you say an unusual offer is "clearly way more" than a bunch of hats, that's only true if the cash value of the hats is accurate. Prices set by actual cash sales, and prices set by extrapolating from actual cash sales a few times over can quickly become difficult to compare. Given the two options, the former is always better if it's not a quicksell.


          Nice effect and all-class, sure, but let's be honest, the rise of mp.tf is starting to reveal that the true cash value of hats isn't nearly as high as some bp prices would lead you to believe.

      Hey, feels like a serious outlier compared to other rare muffs prices, and besides that i turned down 400+ key downgrade offer : https://imgur.com/a/fBh8ovu ( Ooze Mohawk around 240 +, smoking viewfinder 110 and a minimal wear unusual shotgun which i am pretty sure around 50 or more ( all clean )... 270 feels very low for 1 of 1 Secret Tough Muffs, as a guy who knows quit a bit about unusual prices and assessments, i can tell that pretty easily.

        Idk how you get "400" out of that but I know I wouldn't even pay 270 keys for that offer. This suggestion looks fine otherwise until further sales.

          What does it has to do with it ? the offer is around 400 in stuff but forget that, either way if 270 for this hat looks fine to you just based on a single marketplace sale, then i got no comment for you. If u make a proper suggestion for the KE u will probably find the muffs at the same current price or maybe even more, and we all know here that marketplace full cash sales sometimes may be problematic, so why being stubborn?

            I don't think you looked at the ke suggestion. With the minis woifi provided it'd suggest the ke to be somewhere lower than 400 with 2 sales. the ke had an unsold at 680 dollars and had a sale close to 400. Full/pure sales are the most accurate representation of an item so it's not problematic at all. A single pure sale that isn't a quicksell and no other confirmable sales? Looks just fine to me really. I'm not being stubborn. It's being logical.

        REQUESTED BY QUAGMIRE

          0w0 what's this

              does me buying this for 370 in downgrades change anything

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262770109#!/compare/1528329600/1528761600

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070474543#!/compare/1528675200/1528761600

              Some weird bulky sale


              (sale from the comments:

              Cauldron rimmed (~22) + peace fed (~27) + beams toque (~52) + dbd honcho (~29) + blizz classy (~30) + GE bone (~45) + scorching country (~64) + neutron DCO (~41)

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093495779#!/compare/1528934400/1529020800

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198293778105#!/compare/1528761600/1529020800


              Outdated hat minis:

              - The classy capper has a 5 month old price but is close to in-date, so that could be okay. All other sales are bulk or scrap.


              Scorching country: 56-71


              No idea;

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960345945#!/compare/1523404800/1523491200


              bulk beams cannon

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102806068#!/compare/1523750400/1523836800


              complex 4 for 3

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334367671#!/compare/1526169600/1526256000


              DaD tam (~44) + orbfire sensei (~19) + 8 keys

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054945991#!/compare/1524614400/1524700800

              ~71


              -


              Sensei:


              keys but idk how many

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1528588800/1528675200


              To buy order (bought honcho with the keys)

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388280659#!/compare/1527897600/1528416000


              Taunt stuff

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337583821#!/compare/1527552000/1527811200


              prof aussie bb (~17)

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198441418311#!/compare/1527811200/1527897600

              Lower than buy orders


              Complex

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334367671#!/compare/1523145600/1523232000

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112516663#!/compare/1523145600/1523232000


              19 keys - a tad old but itll work.

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153806405#!/compare/1520208000/1520380800


              -


              Tam:


              Qsed for 35 after being bought with the stormy condor

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086346739#!/compare/1523836800/1523923200


              Sold with 10 keys for pfetti law as it appears

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254375254#!/compare/1523836800/1523923200

              That's in-date but has lower sellers, and it's above current tam sellers.


              You can take 44 (seller) for that


              -


              Bulk GE beak

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198293778105#!/compare/1529020800/1529107200


              Searing snap ~69

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001562725#!/compare/1528416000/1528502400


              -


              Searing snap mini:


              bulkish for hearts dco

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063256616#!/compare/1527206400/1527292800


              bulk but idk what for (histories are weird)

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121913969#!/compare/1526860800/1527120000


              Bulk beams CK

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296878368#!/compare/1526688000/1526774400


              Bulk dad TC

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337583821#!/compare/1526601600/1526688000


              Sold with miami bear for beams crasher

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115699456#!/compare/1522454400/1522540800


              Crasher sold here for 55 keys + something resold for 31 (Cant see what tho)

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198247314#!/compare/1527984000/1528588800

              Would make the sale 69 for the snap, matching current sellers


              -


              56 keys

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1528156800/1528243200


              bulk

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1529020800/1529107200


              bulk

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026744290#!/compare/1528761600/1528848000


              bulk

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026744290#!/compare/1528156800/1528243200


              Young seller at 60. unless that sells really fast, 56-71 works


              ============================================================================


              DbD honchos: 26-32


              Sold for 25 keys and ~1 key in ref

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1526688000/1526774400

              ~26


              The rest of that history just looks like a scammer throwing it around in alts

              https://backpack.tf/item/2286728279


              ~32 keys on mp

              https://marketplace.tf/items/391;5;u62


              TaW tyrants

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140668977#!/compare/1528416000/1528502400

              Low probably. sale before that is taw casemaker - probably high. Both are likely outliers


              Would make the honcho 26-32. Rest is all bot exchanges, scrap etc.


              =============================================================================


              Beams toque: 52 keys


              Sold with keys for steaming dapper + fetti cone?

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096247397#!/compare/1528761600/1528848000

              looks really high


              bulk for that wep

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118254940#!/compare/1528502400/1528588800


              Dunno

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154189208#!/compare/1524787200/1524873600


              Sold for vivid trilby + 32 in sweets

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29604789 BO 52

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231082180#!/compare/1522713600/1522800000


              Caps at 52.


              Rest is a bunch of qses to and from bots


              =============================================================================


              Peace fed: 27


              Sold for searing tossle (instantly resold for 23) + a key

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093495779#!/compare/1528588800/1528761600

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085880346#!/compare/1528675200/1528761600

              24

              Not sure here and the tossle may be low


              Sold for aussie sniper ~24 + 3 keys

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022370781#!/compare/1528502400/1528588800

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085880346#!/compare/1528502400/1528588800

              ~27


              Quicksold for 24 keys

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140565712#!/compare/1528502400/1528588800


              Quicksold for 22

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050415639#!/compare/1528502400/1528588800


              Would make the fed 27


              =============================================================================


              Cauldron rimmed: 22 keys


              Sold for logo hallmark

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29614633 BO was 22

              https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1528761600/1528848000

              Caps at 22 keys


              =============================================================================


              That would make the total sale here 64+52+45+41+30+29+27+22 = 310 keys


              That would make the range here 270-310

                THANKS FOAMY.