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You're a wizard, Harry.
Evidence courtesy of Erik (I'll link his profile later)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097022357#!/compare/1521763200/1521936000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1521849600/1521936000
Sold for 20 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260650009#!/compare/1523664000/1524009600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164440171#!/compare/1523836800/1524009600
Sold for an Infernal Smoke Taunt: Skullcracker. Likely better used there, would support the range.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1525737600/1525824000
https://gyazo.com/93970900575bda2ef5ba031761533031
Sold for 19 keys. Dates match.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1525996800/1526083200
https://gyazo.com/93970900575bda2ef5ba031761533031
Bot backpack hasn't been updated yet but sold for 19 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305805743#!/compare/1522713600/1523145600
Unusualified.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156052965#!/compare/1524182400/1524268800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049054413#!/compare/1524182400/1524268800
I've counted the keys and and they all match. 18 pure.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217689741#!/compare/1523836800/1525478400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263801172#!/compare/1523836800/1523923200
Sold for a Galactic Codex A Head Full of Hot Air (9) + Green Confetti Fat Man's Cap. You're free to look into the fatman for a mini but I doubt it would end up at 8 keys flat or below, so this supports the low end of the range.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1522108800/1522195200
https://gyazo.com/93970900575bda2ef5ba031761533031
Sold for 24 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1523059200/1523145600
https://gyazo.com/93970900575bda2ef5ba031761533031
Sold for 22 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198410650505#!/compare/1522195200/1522281600
Unusualified.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129197811#!/compare/1525996800/1526083200
Better used there.
https://backpack.tf/item/5778012740
Bunch of tf2mart shenanigans.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106233311#!/compare/1523232000/1523318400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116230594#!/compare/1522800000/1523664000
Doesn't match.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198246187182#!/compare/1523318400/1524787200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055694560#!/compare/1523750400/1523836800
SCM.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198356119069#!/compare/1522368000/1522454400
Unusualified.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996229893#!/compare/1524787200/1524960000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069393071#!/compare/1524960000/1525046400
Untrace.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073960192#!/compare/1520726400/1523577600
More untrace SCM stuff. Sold a bunch in that period.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334637469#!/compare/1521763200/1523145600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198289065294#!/compare/1522281600/1523664000
Bulk. The Honcho was involved as well.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198400492976#!/compare/1523145600/1523232000
Unusualified.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1522800000/1522886400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161215105#!/compare/1522800000/1522886400
Sold for an unusual SMG + The Head Full of Hot Air. This seems rather high, and likely would've been B/O capped.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161215105#!/compare/1523318400/1523577600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1523232000/1523318400
Better used on the High Five. Sellers at 19-20 there so supports range.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142082556#!/compare/1525651200/1525996800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121913969#!/compare/1525910400/1525996800
Sold for 18 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388607790#!/compare/1524182400/1524355200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057527045#!/compare/1524096000/1524182400
Unusualified.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1522454400/1522540800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025083656#!/compare/1522368000/1522540800
Counted all keys, 23 keys match.
https://marketplace.tf/items/30672;5;u3005
Only recent sale at $39.21 ( / $1,98 ) = 20 keys. The earlier marketplace.tf sale at $60 is too high and the other one at $39.22 supports range.
https://gyazo.com/93970900575bda2ef5ba031761533031
https://imgur.com/a/GGNBBpj (my sale)
My sale at 25 keys.
Sales: ±18 / 18 / 18 / 19 / 19 / 20 / 22 / 23 / 24 / 25 keys
Sellers: 25 / 30 / 30 / 200 keys
https://gyazo.com/bea620440e2c791fd8d4441d8b5d0a55
There are no clear indications that either one of the ends are outliers. I've only used sales in the past 2 months. 18 is a clear common trading point (not countered either by buy orders), supported by sales at 19 and 20 keys. 25 keys doesn't seem high either, it was full pure and sales at 23 / 24 to back it up. Also 2 sales that support this range in general. Probably best to include all sales in the range. Plenty of sales at around 20-22 to support a range.
I'd go with 18-25 keys here.
This is a welcome drop, I really want one of these
https://backpack.tf/item/6550300062
Bought off a suspected scammer alt.
https://backpack.tf/item/6284411376
tf2mart shenanigans.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1526515200/1526601600
https://gyazo.com/fe5d053ab78429834020939320effd07
Sold for 19 keys, bought for 18 keys.
https://backpack.tf/item/4477883954
Bunch of alts.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121913969#!/compare/1526169600/1526256000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093163204#!/compare/1526083200/1526256000
Sold for a Smoking Troublemaker's Tosslecap + Mega Strike Taunt: Deep Fried Desire (6). The Tossle has seller at 17 keys. This will likely fall into the range and support the high end. B/O was 30 keys as can be seen in the screenshot in the suggestion.
A new seller has appeared at 24 keys: https://gyazo.com/18695b2849b691eafe4f04964873f0d4
Right after the suggestion was submitted. Considering how the 25 key sale is now over 2 months old and the current listing at 24 keys has relatively matured, I wouldn't be opposed to a resuggestion at 18-24 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041822925#!/compare/1527033600/1527638400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080932069#!/compare/1527552000/1527638400
Sold for 24 keys.
https://marketplace.tf/items/30672;5;u3005
Sold for $44.99 ( / $1,98 ) = 23 keys./
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082401774#!/compare/1527724800/1527811200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006544512#!/compare/1527724800/1527811200
Sold for 24 keys.
So now there's only 1 sale at 25 keys that's nearly outdated and literally a load of sales at 24 keys. I would go with 18-24 keys now.
Don't really think the .5 key is worth a resuggest here.