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Untouchable in my zone, watch it, don't leave him alone.
Fuck your ass cheek flows with bars sweeter than scones.
Resuggestion. New sales and some other shit have occured.
Sale #1
Sold w/:
a Miami Nights Nuke (40 keys)
for:
a Morning Glory Boxcar Bomber (115 keys, mini below)
10 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077875601#!/compare/1524441600/1524787200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198227232564#!/compare/1524700800/1524787200
= ((115 + 10) - 40) = 85 keys
MG Bomber mini
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5af1734fcf6c75670c2223ec = 115 keys
Sale #2
Quicksold for 89 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29630006
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081270783#!/compare/1524528000/1524614400
= 89 keys
Sale #3
Sold for a Sunbeams Sky High Fly Guy (62, mini below) + 13 keys + some MvM parts
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29615112 - B/O = 110 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081270783#!/compare/1524441600/1524528000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127099299#!/compare/1523836800/1524528000
= 62 + 13 = 75 keys
Beams Fly High mini
Thanks Erik for his help here.
Sold for a Purple Energy Warhood (41) + Cloud 9 Infernal Impaler (21, micro below)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29639140 - B/O = 70 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009927672#!/compare/1525564800/1525651200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084447725#!/compare/1525564800/1525651200
= 41 + 21 = 62 keys
C9 Impaler micro
https://gyazo.com/95c04cb946d134bd66fb8cd82118daf6 = 21 keys
Sale #4
Quicksold for 88 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127099299#!/compare/1522972800/1523318400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079790396#!/compare/1523232000/1523318400
= 88 keys
Sale #5
Sold for a Purple Energy A Rather Festive Tree (40 keys, mini below) + a Scorching Flames Demoman's Fro (
65 keys, mini below57 keys, mini below)https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154437495#!/compare/1521849600/1522022400
= 40 + 65 = 105 keys= 40 + 57 = 97 keys
PE Festive Tree mini
Sold for a Cloud 9 Horrific Headsplitter (25 keys, micro below) + Smoking Noble Amassment of Hats (15 keys, micro below)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204895665#!/compare/1520035200/1520208000
= 25 + 15 = 40 keys
C9 Headsplitter micro
Sold for 25 keys + neglible sweets
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29623876
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066730552#!/compare/1525478400/1525564800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091887499#!/compare/1525478400/1525564800
No idea if this was a quicksale or not, because the seller could've edited the trade anytime. However, there is a seller at 27 keys on the Classifieds to support this drop.
= 25 keys
Smoking Noble micro
Sold for 15 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198256250926#!/compare/1522281600/1522368000
= 15 keys
Scorching Fro mini
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5af301c944325a51691910ef = 65 keyshttps://backpack.tf/suggestion/5af6582ecf6c75160a2aaa1f = 57 keys. Old mini was said to be too high.
Sale #6
Sold for:
Vivid Plasma Hong Kong Cone
25 keys
Strange Festivized Specialized Killstreak Carpet Bomber Stickybomb Launcher (Factory New) god damn, that's a mouthful (4 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29588212 - B/O = 115 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1521676800/1521763200
~> was used to price the Vivid HKC, so I can't use it here.
Sale #7
Sold for a Green Energy Dr's Dapper Topper (97.5 keys) + Time Warp Frenchman's Beret (28 keys, mini below)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059926468#!/compare/1520726400/1520812800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1520812800/1520899200
= 97.5 + 28 = 126 keys
TW Beret mini
Sold w/:
Strange Festivized Specialized Killstreak Australium Wrench (21 keys)
Non-Craftable Unusual Taunt: Results Are In Unusualifier (9 keys)
~1.5 keys worth of items
for:
a Knifestorm Gym Rat (44.5 keys)
Strange Festivized Specialized Killstreak Minigun (18 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286453411#!/compare/1520380800/1520640000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1520553600/1520640000
= (44.5 + 18) - (21 + 9 + 5) = 28 keys
~> Complex-ish trade, but it's better than nothing.
Sale #8
Sold for a Scorching Flames Barnstormer (135 keys, was in-date at the time of the sale) + ~3 keys worth of items
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050933686#!/compare/1520294400/1520380800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059926468#!/compare/1519948800/1520294400
135 + 3 = 138 keys
Sale #9
Tesla Coil Deep Cover Operator (55 keys) + Starstorm Slumber Coldsnap Cap (46 keys, mini below)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29633027 - B/O = 95 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077875601#!/compare/1526688000/1526860800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120495102#!/compare/1526774400/1526860800
= 55 + 46 = 101 keys
B/O = 95 keys
Tesla DCO mini
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29659501 - b/o of 55 keys
https://i.imgur.com/yiDaISY.png
x2 at 55 keys
Taking this as 55 keys.
Slumber Coldsnap mini
Sold for a Circling Peace Sign Modest Pile of Hat (31 keys) + 16 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195731583#!/compare/1526601600/1526688000
Taking this as 46 keys.
Sale #10
Sold for a Duped Stare From Beyond Falkirk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198236788328#!/compare/1527033600/1527120000
~> Only other sale for the Falkirk, unfortunately, has a hat that doesn't have any recent sales. So this sale should be used to update that.
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29614647 - 120 keys, nearly 1 month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29633027 - 110 keys, nearly 2 weeksIt's sale #9 now.Conclusion:
Sales at 75, 85, 88 (qs), 89 (qs), 95, 97, 126 and 138 keys. Seller at 120 keys.
Obviously omitting the high outlier, so 126 is out of the range. Though there are quicksales, they kind of support a common trade point at 85-97 keys. I'll be excluding the 75 key sale because it looks a bit low, especially since the hat had a 110 key b/o on that trade, and the hat it was traded for has limited sales for a concrete reference. I'm still a bit stumped though, so I'd like to hear your thoughts. But for now, I'll be going with 85-197 keys. Special thanks to Midnight, Zeus and WannaBe for their help on the discord.
Additional/Supportive and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.
Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ノ