Price Suggestion
Orbiting Fire Blighted Beak
Submitted by Erik
~425 keys
o.fire
Unusual Blighted Beak Orbiting Fire
336 votes up
97 votes down
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Orbiting Fire Blighted Beak


New price: 50-65 keys

[proof below]


SALE #1 = 54 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198365923475#!/compare/1524096000/1524182400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121782036#!/compare/1524182400/1524268800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069202575#!/compare/1523750400/1524441600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29612228 - B/O 54 keys.

Sold for 51 keys + ’72 Taunt: The Proletariat Posedown (7) = 58 keys. Capping at B/O.


SALE #2 = invalid


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198365923475#!/compare/1521504000/1521590400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094964657#!/compare/1521504000/1521590400

Bulk.


SALE #3 = invalid


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094964657#!/compare/1521158400/1521331200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045542311#!/compare/1521244800/1521331200

Bulk.


SALE #4 = 52 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098054379#!/compare/1527724800/1527811200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043936328#!/compare/1527724800/1527811200

Sold for 52 keys.


SALE #5 = invalid


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086948995#!/compare/1525564800/1525737600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198367617045#!/compare/1525046400/1525737600

Seems quite low. If anything, this is better used on the Sack.


SALE #6 = 54 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041228333#!/compare/1524096000/1524182400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198367617045#!/compare/1523664000/1524182400

Sold for 54 keys.


SALE #7 = 49 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043936328#!/compare/1523404800/1523491200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041228333#!/compare/1523404800/1523491200

Sold for 49 keys.


SALE #8 = 65 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179707937#!/compare/1526256000/1526342400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124198674#!/compare/1526083200/1526342400

Sold f or 65 keys.


SUMMARY

Sales: 49 / 52 / 54 / 54 / 65 keys

Sellers: 65 keys

https://gyazo.com/4f02e2f869e3f1aff16bd21481aa7bb2


Wide range seems fine here. 65 pure doesn’t really get countered by anything here. Not to mention, sale 1 would’ve been nearly 60 as well if it wasn’t for the cap. Going to round 49 to 50 keys so the final range looks a bit more neat. Going with 50-65 keys.

    No new sales surprisingly? But there's a 2 month unsold @ 65 which makes me think it's high.

    http://prntscr.com/k1nso5

    https://backpack.tf/item/1080563991


    The difference between 58 and 65 is a big one here imo so I'd resuggest at 49-54 personally.

      Eh, the 65 sale was full pure. And a seller at 65 keys doesn't necessarily counter a (full pure, and recent) sale at 65 keys. I personally think that having a somewhat wider range here with the high end based on a recent full pure sale isn't a bad idea. I suppose we could wait for another opinion.

        Yeah but if it sells for 65 once and then can't sell for 65 again after 2 months I consider that luck, and would rather use a tighter range with those sales you provided. There's a lot more support for a tighter range than this one imo.

          The unsold doesn't necessarily counter the sale at 65, but with four other sales at 49-54 it looks like an outlier. As supporting evidence, sale 5 is also much lower and sale 3 had a B/O of 49:

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29590001