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Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152708934#!/compare/1526083200/1526169600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089675316#!/compare/1526083200/1526169600
Sold for Spellbound Bot Dogger
Better used there.
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119428262#!/compare/1526256000/1526342400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1526256000/1526342400
Sold with 1.92 keys in sweets + 2 spelled hats for HP Jr. Kabuto + Slumber Kiss King
Better used on the Kabuto.
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166102098#!/compare/1522886400/1522972800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041964232#!/compare/1522972800/1523059200
Sold for PE Caribou(185) + 15 keys + Strange Jazzy KS FT Sniper.
Unable to price sniper.
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041964232#!/compare/1523836800/1523923200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314160142#!/compare/1523836800/1523923200
Sold with 16 keys + 11.38 keys in sweets for Nebula Translator
Translator Mini:
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b18d5e4cf6c75107438a451
Suggestion for 202.5 keys
Total is 202.5 - 27.38 = 175.12 keys
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314160142#!/compare/1525046400/1525132800
Untraceable.
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119428262#!/compare/1526083200/1526169600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089675316#!/compare/1526083200/1526169600
Sold with 3.8 keys in sweets for Stormy Viewfinder(170)
Total is 166.2 keys
Taking 170 - 175 keys.
Sale 3 is an outlier compared to sellers regardless of how the Rifle would be valued, if we take the Caribou's price as current (and that might not be reliable anyway, seller for 150 there). Seller for 180 on the Crown is older than they seem.
Also though, I don't understand why you rounded 166 to 170 here. Should be 165. Calling this close enough.