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atleast my hair isn't on fire
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Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005954765#!/compare/1527897600/1528156800
Keys don't match up, excluded.
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Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1527465600/1527897600
Sold for 40 keys.
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Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1526774400/1527465600
Sold for 35 keys, quicksell.
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Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1525478400/1525564800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198240965542#!/compare/1525478400/1525564800
Sold for a Vivid Plasma Phononaut. Can't be mini'd due to a lack of useable sales, excluded.
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Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1524528000/1524614400
Sold for an Aussie Tomislav (~12) and a KS Aussie Scattergun (~35). 12+35=47.
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Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355520251#!/compare/1527897600/1527984000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182795337#!/compare/1527897600/1527984000
Sold with 6 keys for two Specialized Killstreak Australium Wrenches (23). 23x2-6=40.
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Sale 7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079170528#!/compare/1527638400/1527724800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079170528#!/compare/1527638400/1527724800
Sold for 38 keys and ~1 key of sweets. 38+1=39.
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Marketplace.tf sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/30413;5;u35
Sold for ~90$. 90$/1.97$=~46 keys
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Sellers and buyers
https://gyazo.com/70437226cdc97487fc8f4e73acdbdceb
Unsold for 3 months at 45.
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Summary
Sales are at 39, 40, 40, 46, 47. Due to the unsold at 45, I'll be going with 39-45.
Thanks to Lemons and Torb!
Aussie Scatter is ~26-27 keys actually, what makes the sale about 38-39 keys
Also you cannot cap sales at unsolds. 46 and 47 sould be excluded what makes it 39-40 range
I was told to value aussies at the lowest seller, which was about 35 at the time. As for the range, I just didn't know. Got a price moderator to look at it earlier, he didn't see it. I'm probably in the wrong here either way lol
I initially presumed you were rounding down 46 to 45, which i am fine with here. The scatter sale will support the low end of the range
As a person who both bought and sold this item in trades that are now part of this price suggestion, I'd like to say that it's important to consider that the quicksell prices that I both bought and sold the hat for are not indicative of the true value of the hat
I understand that, but when a hat is quicksold this much, it pretty much has to be valued at that.
While this is true, it's quicksold a lot, so is virtually every hat. I just bought it cause I thought it would be easy to requicksell for a good profit, that doesn't mean it should be valued as such.
But it was quicksold *particularly* much, that's my point. There are pretty few sales at full price, and those are considered in my range as well.
Most new recent sales are scrap sales or back-and-forths. I being sold to scrap (just sold to it again) supports the drop here