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~18 keys
searing
Unusual Noble Nickel Amassment of Hats Searing Plasma
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Comments

Went from 1/1 to 1/3 ;-;

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Sale #1 - Sold for 49 keys + Boxtrot (23.38 ref = 0.84k)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278991373#!/compare/1524528000/1524614400


Valued and Rounded up to 50k

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Sale #2 - Sold for 35 keys pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998376896#!/compare/1526688000/1526774400


Valued @ 35k

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Sale #3 - Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361129578#!/compare/1526774400/1527033600


N/A

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Sale #4 - Untraceable: Disagreement from both sides and too low to consider

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054758757#!/compare/1527638400/1527724800 - 19 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150552809#!/compare/1527206400/1527811200 - ~26 keys

26 keys

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Sale #5 - Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057266312#!/compare/1520985600/1528502400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054758757#!/compare/1527724800/1527811200


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Sale #6 - Bought off scrap bot with Planets Wraith Wrap (outdated 14k), Nuts Bicorne (outdated 9.5k), 22 keys and 6.44 ref (6.44 ref = 0.23k)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011519796#!/compare/1527379200/1527465600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1527379200/1527465600 (not as traceable here)


Bicorne Mini - Sold for $19.49 in Marketplace, keys were ~$1.98, hence sold for ~9.84k

https://marketplace.tf/items/607;5;u31/Nuts%20n'%20Bolts%20Buccaneer's%20Bicorne

Sold for 9 keys pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078506252#!/compare/1528070400/1528156800

Bicorne estimated @ 9.5 keys


Wraith Mini - Sold for $20 on mp.tf on May 31, keys were $1.96

https://marketplace.tf/items/937;5;u32/Oribiting%20Planets%20Wraith%20Wrap

20/1.96 = 10.2 keys

Valuing/Rounding Wrap to 10 keys


CALCULATIONS:

Noble = Wrap + Bicorne + 22k + 0.23k

= 10k + 9.5k + 22k + 0.23k

= 41.7


Rounding it up to 42 keys

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Sales @ 42, 50 keys


Final suggested range: 42 - 50 keys


    Forgot to mention that the 35k sale is over 40% off the current price which makes it a quicksale, hence it is not included in the range

      Percentage off current price doesn't really matter; time it took to sell, buyers, sellers and other sales do matter. So there's no valid reason to exclude 35 (highest buy order is 28 keys, and is hidden right now). It has also been dumped on scrap.tf and other quickbuyers, supporting the drop.

        So should I then make the range 35-50?

          That should work, yes.