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Went from 1/1 to 1/3 ;-;
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Sale #1 - Sold for 49 keys + Boxtrot (23.38 ref = 0.84k)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278991373#!/compare/1524528000/1524614400
Valued and Rounded up to 50k
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Sale #2 - Sold for 35 keys pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998376896#!/compare/1526688000/1526774400
Valued @ 35k
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Sale #3 - Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361129578#!/compare/1526774400/1527033600
N/A
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Sale #4 - Untraceable: Disagreement from both sides and too low to consider
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054758757#!/compare/1527638400/1527724800 - 19 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150552809#!/compare/1527206400/1527811200 - ~26 keys
26 keys----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sale #5 - Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057266312#!/compare/1520985600/1528502400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054758757#!/compare/1527724800/1527811200
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Sale #6 - Bought off scrap bot with Planets Wraith Wrap (outdated 14k), Nuts Bicorne (outdated 9.5k), 22 keys and 6.44 ref (6.44 ref = 0.23k)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011519796#!/compare/1527379200/1527465600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1527379200/1527465600 (not as traceable here)
Bicorne Mini - Sold for $19.49 in Marketplace, keys were ~$1.98, hence sold for ~9.84k
https://marketplace.tf/items/607;5;u31/Nuts%20n'%20Bolts%20Buccaneer's%20Bicorne
Sold for 9 keys pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078506252#!/compare/1528070400/1528156800
Bicorne estimated @ 9.5 keys
Wraith Mini - Sold for $20 on mp.tf on May 31, keys were $1.96
https://marketplace.tf/items/937;5;u32/Oribiting%20Planets%20Wraith%20Wrap
20/1.96 = 10.2 keys
Valuing/Rounding Wrap to 10 keys
CALCULATIONS:
Noble = Wrap + Bicorne + 22k + 0.23k
= 10k + 9.5k + 22k + 0.23k
= 41.7
Rounding it up to 42 keys
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Sales @ 42, 50 keys
Final suggested range: 42 - 50 keys
Forgot to mention that the 35k sale is over 40% off the current price which makes it a quicksale, hence it is not included in the range
Percentage off current price doesn't really matter; time it took to sell, buyers, sellers and other sales do matter. So there's no valid reason to exclude 35 (highest buy order is 28 keys, and is hidden right now). It has also been dumped on scrap.tf and other quickbuyers, supporting the drop.
So should I then make the range 35-50?
That should work, yes.