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"I'm currently constructing a machine that'll do the price suggestions for us. Wait, wdym there's already a machine for that?"
Cleaning up old prices
Marketplace.tf
https://marketplace.tf/items/605;5;u17
Key prices based on http://manicbot.me/keyprice.txt
399.99$ / 1.96$ = 204 keys = 200 keys
Backpack.tf
Sale 1:
Sold with 5 keys for a Harvest Moon Dr's Dapper Topper (195 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072573105#!/compare/1526169600/1526256000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094183864#!/compare/1526169600/1526256000
195 keys - 5 keys = 190 keys
Sellers/Buyers: https://imgur.com/a/NUG81wp
Most of them are too young to be used as a cap. One guy is at 260 unsold for 6 months but it's above the price range.
Sales: 190 / 204
Taking 190-200 keys.
Provide supplemental proof, counter proof or report recent sales for this hat in the comments!
Have a nice day!