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2 years outdated
sale 1: 35 keys (QS)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041228333#!/compare/1523145600/1523232000
sale 2: bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334367671#!/compare/1523145600/1523232000
sale 3: Clean Strange Sunbeams Private Eye + 2 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334367671#!/compare/1523750400/1523836800
mini for private
https://marketplace.tf/shopitem/m9s/388;5;u17;strange/Strange%20Sunbeams%20Private%20Eye
sold for $119.86
119.86/1.96= ~61 keys
taking 63 keys
Not going to round since I'm basing it off money
sale 4: Sold w/ 21 pure for clean DBD modest
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129205357#!/compare/1525046400/1525132800
Previous owner of modest has a B/O of 66 so I'm using that (https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Modest+Pile+of+Hat&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&particle=62&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0)
taking 67 for modest
66-21= 45 k
Taking 45k
sale 5: untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048563101#!/compare/1525305600/1525392000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065409820#!/compare/1525305600/1525392000
sale 6: Strange Specialized Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher (33k) (QS)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093926010#!/compare/1526601600/1526688000
taking 33k
sale 6: 40k (QS)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963394917#!/compare/1527120000/1527206400
sale 7: Sold w/ 4k for clean Blizz Storm Neckwear Headwear
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084682544#!/compare/1527206400/1527292800
mini for neckwear
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065157321#!/compare/1528416000/1528502400
Sold w/ 1 pure for Blizz Storm Salty Dog
Micro for Salty
https://marketplace.tf/shopitem/waadebp/611;5;u30
Sold for $78
78 / 1.96 = 39.8 rounding to 40
Taking 35 for sale
Sale 8: bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272881838#!/compare/1527465600/1527552000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1527465600/1527552000
Sale 9: Anti Freeze Coupe + 6 keys + 30 ref (~1 key)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272881838#!/compare/1527724800/1527811200
mini for coupe
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b02f5f8cf6c75631167dd71
Taking 59 keys for the sale
rounding to 60 for better number
Sales we have are 33, 35, 35, 40, 45, 60, 63
Excluding sales 33-40 due to closeness of buyers and many of those were quicksales
The valid sales are: 45, 60, 63
Calling 45 an outlier
Taking 60-63 for the suggestion
Any feedback, information, or more sales would be greatly appreciated! If I've made any major mistakes, please do tell so I can resuggest
Your mini on Private Eye will be way too high
It was the only good sale I could find, and it's not too far off it's suggested price. If you don't mind, could you find a sale on the private eye which I could use?
Well, looks like you're right here - I couldn't track any other sales tho. But in this case you'd need to take 58-61 as there's some unsolds at 58. That makes it 62 in total which means it's no viable to resuggest.
Suggestion looks fine then
Thanks for the feedback. Will look into the unsolds on future suggestions
Seems like the buyer who was at 34 keys took off his buy order, but it shouldn't change the sales because it was available for more than a month and sales were well past 30% off. Also, scrap.tf paid 35 keys and 20 ref at the time of the sales which makes me wonder why all the quicksales, excluding the 40 key one, didn't go to scrap
New sale from me!
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119149660#!/compare/1529107200/1529193600
Sold for DBD Caribou + 3 pure!
Mini
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b25ae9ecf6c75326c5232d0
Taking 62 which fits perfectly in the range
Made a new sugg making the Caribou around ~58 + 3 pure making around 61 which fits in range
A new sale which the ze goggles 1:1'd for a duped Sunbeams noir
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251704884#!/compare/1529107200/1529193600
how is 45 an outlier ?
Sales we have now are 45, 60, 61, 63, and a duped Sunbeams noir which I can't find a proper sale so I'm excluding
45 seems to be too low when somewhere around 60 seem to be a common trading point
With the data points as we have them here, I'm not so sure dismissing 45 is the way to go. Be wary that for the common trading point, we typically look at all sales.
Sure, if something quicksold far below all other sales, then that's typically not considered, but there are 4 such sales here that are already dismissed as such. I'm not heavily opposed to that per say, but also removing 45 here (despite the fact that the majority of data points here is actually even lower) doesn't seem like a good idea.
Noir has a sale here at ~52
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179707937#!/compare/1530230400/1530316800
Backs up a larger range may be needed here.
Given how the 45 sale is relatively bulky, I wouldn't be opposed to this being 52-63, still leaving out the 45.
As a bonus:
The noir also sold for a stormy professionals ushanka:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117149690#!/compare/1531526400/1531699200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168863803#!/compare/1531612800/1531699200
That has no other recent sales, and could be repriced with the same noir mini posted above, as a free additional suggestion.
Alright, thanks for the feedback. I'll resuggest when I find the time