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~150 keys
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Unusual Ze Goggles Morning Glory
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2 years outdated


sale 1: 35 keys (QS)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041228333#!/compare/1523145600/1523232000


sale 2: bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334367671#!/compare/1523145600/1523232000


sale 3: Clean Strange Sunbeams Private Eye + 2 pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334367671#!/compare/1523750400/1523836800


mini for private

https://marketplace.tf/shopitem/m9s/388;5;u17;strange/Strange%20Sunbeams%20Private%20Eye

sold for $119.86

119.86/1.96= ~61 keys


taking 63 keys

Not going to round since I'm basing it off money


sale 4: Sold w/ 21 pure for clean DBD modest

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129205357#!/compare/1525046400/1525132800

Previous owner of modest has a B/O of 66 so I'm using that (https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Modest+Pile+of+Hat&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&particle=62&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0)

taking 67 for modest

66-21= 45 k


Taking 45k


sale 5: untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048563101#!/compare/1525305600/1525392000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065409820#!/compare/1525305600/1525392000


sale 6: Strange Specialized Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher (33k) (QS)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093926010#!/compare/1526601600/1526688000


taking 33k


sale 6: 40k (QS)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963394917#!/compare/1527120000/1527206400


sale 7: Sold w/ 4k for clean Blizz Storm Neckwear Headwear

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084682544#!/compare/1527206400/1527292800


mini for neckwear

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065157321#!/compare/1528416000/1528502400

Sold w/ 1 pure for Blizz Storm Salty Dog


Micro for Salty

https://marketplace.tf/shopitem/waadebp/611;5;u30

Sold for $78

78 / 1.96 = 39.8 rounding to 40


Taking 35 for sale


Sale 8: bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272881838#!/compare/1527465600/1527552000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1527465600/1527552000


Sale 9: Anti Freeze Coupe + 6 keys + 30 ref (~1 key)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272881838#!/compare/1527724800/1527811200


mini for coupe

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b02f5f8cf6c75631167dd71

Taking 59 keys for the sale

rounding to 60 for better number


Sales we have are 33, 35, 35, 40, 45, 60, 63

Excluding sales 33-40 due to closeness of buyers and many of those were quicksales

The valid sales are: 45, 60, 63

Calling 45 an outlier

Taking 60-63 for the suggestion


Any feedback, information, or more sales would be greatly appreciated! If I've made any major mistakes, please do tell so I can resuggest

    Your mini on Private Eye will be way too high

      It was the only good sale I could find, and it's not too far off it's suggested price. If you don't mind, could you find a sale on the private eye which I could use?

        Well, looks like you're right here - I couldn't track any other sales tho. But in this case you'd need to take 58-61 as there's some unsolds at 58. That makes it 62 in total which means it's no viable to resuggest.

        Suggestion looks fine then

          Thanks for the feedback. Will look into the unsolds on future suggestions

      Seems like the buyer who was at 34 keys took off his buy order, but it shouldn't change the sales because it was available for more than a month and sales were well past 30% off. Also, scrap.tf paid 35 keys and 20 ref at the time of the sales which makes me wonder why all the quicksales, excluding the 40 key one, didn't go to scrap

        New sale from me!

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119149660#!/compare/1529107200/1529193600

        Sold for DBD Caribou + 3 pure!

        Mini

        https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b25ae9ecf6c75326c5232d0

        Taking 62 which fits perfectly in the range

      how is 45 an outlier ?

        Sales we have now are 45, 60, 61, 63, and a duped Sunbeams noir which I can't find a proper sale so I'm excluding

        45 seems to be too low when somewhere around 60 seem to be a common trading point

        With the data points as we have them here, I'm not so sure dismissing 45 is the way to go. Be wary that for the common trading point, we typically look at all sales.


        Sure, if something quicksold far below all other sales, then that's typically not considered, but there are 4 such sales here that are already dismissed as such. I'm not heavily opposed to that per say, but also removing 45 here (despite the fact that the majority of data points here is actually even lower) doesn't seem like a good idea.


        Noir has a sale here at ~52

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179707937#!/compare/1530230400/1530316800

        Backs up a larger range may be needed here.


        Given how the 45 sale is relatively bulky, I wouldn't be opposed to this being 52-63, still leaving out the 45.


        As a bonus:

        The noir also sold for a stormy professionals ushanka:

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117149690#!/compare/1531526400/1531699200

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168863803#!/compare/1531612800/1531699200

        That has no other recent sales, and could be repriced with the same noir mini posted above, as a free additional suggestion.

          Alright, thanks for the feedback. I'll resuggest when I find the time