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Sincario
https://backpack.tf/item/2344337212
Sale 1) Sold for 69 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085951237#!/compare/1522972800/1523059200
Low outlier.
https://backpack.tf/item/5106951372
Sale 2) Sold for ~83 Keys of Australiums + 3 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024925599#!/compare/1525824000/1525910400
83 + 3 = 86 Keys
Sale 3) Sold for 70 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198425857649#!/compare/1529020800/1529107200
https://backpack.tf/item/6829394486
Sale 4) Sold for a Starstorm Slumber Hong Kong Cone
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198368868701#!/compare/1528243200/1528329600
Fits in the range.
Sale 5) Sold + 4 Keys for a Circling TF Logo Brown Bomber + Circling TF Logo Company Man + ~1 Key of Items
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138684245#!/compare/1528156800/1528329600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29676901 - Capped by the Buyout of 90 Keys
Sale 6) Sold for 74 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051813019#!/compare/1528243200/1528329600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071197720#!/compare/1528243200/1528329600
I asked Vertigo on Steam, and he said the sale was 74 Keys.
Sale 7) Sold + 40 Keys for a Bonzo-the-All-Gnawing Harmburg
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071197720#!/compare/1528761600/1528848000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055847835#!/compare/1528761600/1528848000
Not all 40 Keys show, but I asked Lila on Discord. This should be used for the Harmburg.
https://backpack.tf/item/2496204444
Sale 8) Sold for 65 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066802889#!/compare/1523232000/1523318400
Low outlier.
https://marketplace.tf/items/538;5;u61 - Sale at $159.09 when Keys were ~$1.96 at the time
159.09 / 1.96 = 81.16, which rounds to 81 Keys
At the time, 70 sold to a buy order. However, the market has shifted drastically since, and 70 is by no means too low with more recent sales in mind. Marketplace sales have dived even lower.
This may still be on the high side, but its definitely better than current.