Purple Confetti Defiant Spartan

New price: 12-13 keys

[proof below]

SALE #1 = 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304138933#!/compare/1528761600/1528848000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146520654#!/compare/1528675200/1529020800

https://gyazo.com/f19cc210a29c2f29d3dcda827ad4b1e1

Sold for ~13 keys.

SALE #2 = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059769005#!/compare/1524873600/1524960000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165586075#!/compare/1524960000/1525305600

Looks like 14 keys but the keys on the buyer’s side do not seem to match and only 3 keys match on seller’s side.

SALE #3 = 15 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/340;5;u7

Sold for $29.90 ( / $1,96 ) = ~15 keys.

SALE #4 = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996095002#!/compare/1524787200/1524873600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059769005#!/compare/1524355200/1524873600

A bit bulk-ish, but better used on the Impaler anyways.

SALE #5 = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996095002#!/compare/1524009600/1524096000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346875595#!/compare/1524009600/1524096000

Better used there.

SALE #6 = 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304138933#!/compare/1529186400/1529272800

https://gyazo.com/f19cc210a29c2f29d3dcda827ad4b1e1

Bought for ~12 keys.

SALE #7 = 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198315588518#!/compare/1529013600/1529100000

https://gyazo.com/f19cc210a29c2f29d3dcda827ad4b1e1

Bought for ~12 keys.

SALE #8 = 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304138933#!/compare/1528754400/1528840800

https://gyazo.com/f19cc210a29c2f29d3dcda827ad4b1e1

Bought for ~12 keys.

SALE #9 = 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304138933#!/compare/1528581600/1528668000

https://gyazo.com/f19cc210a29c2f29d3dcda827ad4b1e1

https://backpack.tf/item/746838708

Was bought for 12 keys, resold later for ~13 keys.

SALE #10 = 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304138933#!/compare/1527458400/1527544800

https://gyazo.com/f19cc210a29c2f29d3dcda827ad4b1e1

Bought for ~12 keys.

SALE #11 = 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153789411#!/compare/1527465600/1527811200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304138933#!/compare/1527724800/1527811200

https://gyazo.com/f19cc210a29c2f29d3dcda827ad4b1e1

Sold for ~13 keys.

SALE #12 = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181044895#!/compare/1526947200/1527120000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198402938748#!/compare/1526947200/1527120000

Untrace.

SALE #13 = 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198224175792#!/compare/1526774400/1526860800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181044895#!/compare/1526774400/1526860800

Bulk.

SALE #14 = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198224175792#!/compare/1525824000/1525910400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138116474#!/compare/1525824000/1525910400

Using there.

SALE #15 = 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146579306#!/compare/1528761600/1528934400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1528848000/1528934400

Sold for ~12 keys.

SALE #16 = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069122042#!/compare/1525046400/1525132800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009583885#!/compare/1524960000/1525046400

Better used there.

SALE #17 = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1525824000/1525910400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010082723#!/compare/1525910400/1525996800

Sold for 9 keys. Low.

SALE #18 = 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059021831#!/compare/1527811200/1527897600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117722006#!/compare/1527897600/1527984000

Sold for ~13 keys.

SALE #19 = 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350910856#!/compare/1526947200/1527033600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059021831#!/compare/1526947200/1527033600

Sold for ~12 keys.

SALE #20 = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002761980#!/compare/1526601600/1526947200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193861449#!/compare/1526860800/1526947200

Better used there.

SALE #21 = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193861449#!/compare/1526428800/1526515200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275783474#!/compare/1526428800/1526515200

Better used there.

SALE #22 = invalid

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275783474#!/compare/1526169600/1526256000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376331369#!/compare/1526169600/1526256000

Better used there.

SUMMARY

Sales: 12 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 12 / 13 / 13 / 13 / 13 / 15 keys

Sellers: 13 / 13 / 20 keys

https://gyazo.com/f718b705f861b194539575ec115e7799

With 2 sellers, one of which is basically matured, I’d say that 15 keys is an outlier here. 12 keys were mostly purchases but it’s definitely a common trading point. Going with 12-13 keys.