requested by Erik

effortless suggestion are bad

that should be better :3

pure bot.tf sales in past 90 days

turns out most of them are untracable

https://imgur.com/a/TUs90Le

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30809&q=5&ef=Starstorm+Insomnia&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0

excluding untracable sales stated there

sold for 9 keys and 21 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382589541#!/compare/1528322400/1528408800

rounding to 9.5 keys

sold for 9 keys and 19.88 refs

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357046243#!/compare/1521932400/1522018800

rounding to 9.5

sold for 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382589541#!/compare/1527026400/1527112800

sold for 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317606171#!/compare/1526076000/1526162400

sold for 9 keys and 10 refs even though only 8 refs match in compare. still rounds to 9 keys flat

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358337981#!/compare/1526076000/1526162400

sold for 10 keys and 4 refs

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382589541#!/compare/1525212000/1525298400

rounding to 10 keys

no tracable sales left

marketplace.tf sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/30809;5;u109

taking sales from 2 months ago, not using march sales

22.99 - https://backpack.tf/item/6325564060, keys was 1.98, 22.99/1.98=11.6, rounds to 12

24.99 - https://backpack.tf/item/5257090130, keys was 1.94 atm, 24.99/1.94=12.8, rounds to 13

24.15 - https://backpack.tf/item/5664987313, keys was 1.95, 24.15/1.95=12.3, rounds to 12

15.5 - no history, using current, 1.91 15.5/1.91=8.1, rounding to 8

18.99 - no history, using current, 1.91, 18.99/1.91=9.9, rounds to 10

here comes non-bot.tf sales

using past 2 months

not using scrap sales

not using tradeit.gg sales

not using untracable sales within a day

not using mannco.trade sales

untracable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314160142#!/compare/1522540800/1522627200

sold for neutron star wingmann

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198810072792#!/compare/1529280000/1529366400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198820444541#!/compare/1529280000/1529366400

will probbaly be used on it

bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164610195#!/compare/1528588800/1528675200

sold for 2 keys pure + 81.46 refs in items, keys waas 27.44-27.55, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ad26bc3cf6c7558390514a1. 81.46/27.49=2.9 keys, rounds to 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253471602#!/compare/1526083200/1526601600

5 keys..? not even gonna bother with it, outlier

sold for 11 keys pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069559160#!/compare/1524268800/1524355200

bulk for c tf tc

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073362534#!/compare/1522800000/1525392000

scm

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205187087#!/compare/1529366400/1529625600

scm

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205187087#!/compare/1525305600/1529366400

sold for 9 keys, 9 refs and 3 refs in sweets. rounds down to 9 refs.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080296855#!/compare/1528761600/1528848000

sold for 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080296855#!/compare/1528848000/1529020800

untracable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964081798#!/compare/1528502400/1528675200

sold for 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032782076#!/compare/1528502400/1528588800

sold for 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361891514#!/compare/1528588800/1528675200

untracable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198419214840#!/compare/1528329600/1528675200

sold for 8 keys and 27 refs. rounds up to 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182700766#!/compare/1526428800/1527292800

sold for 9 keys and 9 ref, 8 rec and 12 scrap how do i math 8+2.66+1.33=12. rounds down to 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174203179#!/compare/1522800000/1522886400

sold for 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027211131#!/compare/1525132800/1525219200

sold for bliz storm samur-eye + sweets

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198368615541#!/compare/1526083200/1526169600

outlier for both hats

untracable. guessing it is cash trade

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359838309#!/compare/1527465600/1529971200

sold for 8 keys + 23 ref. rounding up to 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198824742025#!/compare/1528675200/1528761600

sold for 9 keys + 19 refs. rounding to 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113853563#!/compare/1522800000/1522886400

summary:

sales we have:

9.5, 9.5, 10, 10, 9, 10, 12, 13, 12, 8, 10, 11, 9, 11, 9, 8, 9, 9, 9, 9, 10

looks like 12, 13, 12, 11 and 11 sales are not so common (and mp.tf), so i would exclude them

8 keys sale is countered by buyers

9-10 keys range would be sweet

cheers!