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Pirates of the Caribbean
https://backpack.tf/item/4093168076
Sale 1) Bulk sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043799114#!/compare/1524096000/1524528000
Sale 2) Bulk sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197977828464#!/compare/1524700800/1524873600
Sale 3) Sold for a GE Boxcar Bomber (140 Keys) + Sunbeams Full Metal Drill (57.5 Keys) + Aussie Flame (~16 Key) + Orb. Fire Samur-Eye (15 Keys) + 6 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096247397#!/compare/1525651200/1525737600
140 + 57.5 + 16 + 14 + 6 = 233.5, which I'll round to 235 Keys
Samur-Eye Mini
https://imgur.com/a/DIMVifk - 27 Day Unsold at 15 Keys. Taking 14 Keys
https://backpack.tf/item/4776663942
https://backpack.tf/item/638671261
Sale 4) Sold for a Burning Flames Defiant Spartan (85 Keys) + Roboactive Tartan Spartan
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031870303#!/compare/1526860800/1526947200
Low outlier.
Sale 5) Sold + stuff for a Strange Burning Flames Whirly Warrior
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060375373#!/compare/1526860800/1526947200
This should be used for the Whirly.
Sale 6) I can't tell what exactly was involved
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418740133#!/compare/1528675200/1528761600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320412894#!/compare/1528675200/1528761600
Sale 7) I still can't tell what exactly was involved
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320412894#!/compare/1528675200/1528761600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097640992#!/compare/1528675200/1528761600
Sale 8) Sold + Pro KS Aussie Scatter (~38 Keys) + 4 Keys of Tour of Duty Tickets for a Scorching Flames Woolen Warmer
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097640992#!/compare/1528675200/1528761600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028320526#!/compare/1528675200/1528761600
The Woolen needs a drop, so this can be used for that.
Sale 9) Sold for a Circling TF Logo Legendary Lid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028320526#!/compare/1529539200/1529625600
This should be used to price the Lid.
Sale 10) I can't tell what this sale is.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219200107#!/compare/1529539200/1529625600
Sales 5 and 8 support Sale 4 being considered low.
https://marketplace.tf/items/30116;5;u14 - Seller at $350 (~180 Keys)
But this is super themed because it's Scorching hot in the Caribbean right now
The Jamaican Fire.
I don't see how the defiant + tartan sale is going to be an outlier here. Unless the Tartan recieves a massive price drop, a range of let's say 150-235 wouldn't be out of the question here.
Definitely better than trying to rely on a marketplace seller that's likely to change their price and screw the entire suggestion over.
New sale https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314160142#!/compare/1530921600/1531008000
thats not a sale
What did you do with it, then?
Got gambled, 😬