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Too deep fried... lost value
New price: 6-8 keys
Proof:
Sale #1(2 months)= invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101719667#!/compare/1525737600/1525824000
Sold with a spec ks australium scattergun for a frostbite outdoorsman. Better used there.
Sale #2(fresh)= 8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145896898#!/compare/1530057600/1530144000
Sold for 8 keys.
Sale #3(1 month)= 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041547084#!/compare/1526860800/1527379200
Sold for 6 keys.
Sale #4(2 months)= 11
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045551697#!/compare/1526256000/1526428800
Sold for 11 keys.
Sale #5(2 months)= invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090183297#!/compare/1525132800/1525219200
Bulk.
Sale #6(1 month)= invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1527552000/1527724800
Sold for 7 keys. Key histories dont match. Excluding.
Sale #7(1 month)= 6
seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1526515200/1526601600
buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046160451#!/compare/1526169600/1526601600
Sold for 6 keys.
Sale #8(1 month)= 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090748165#!/compare/1524873600/1526428800
Sold for 5 keys.
bot.tf sales:
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1119&q=5&ef=Holy+Grail&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0
https://imgur.com/a/bZ5hYRS
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1523829600/1523916000 - 6 keys 30 ref = ~7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1524693600/1524780000 - 7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1526680800/1526767200 - 5 keys 26 ref = ~6
Marketplace.tf sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/1119;5;u3003
Sale #1 (2 months) Sold for 12$. Keys were 1.96$. 12 / 1.96 = ~6
Sale #2 (1 month) Sold for 10$. Keys were 1.96$. 10 / 1.96 = ~5
Sale #3 (3 weeks) Sold for 6$. Keys were 1.94$. 6 / 1.94 = ~3
Sale #4 (3 weeks) Sold for 12.99$. Keys were 1.93$. 12.99 / 1.93 = ~6.5
Sale #5 (2 weeks) Sold for 6$. Keys were 1.92$. 6 / 1.92 = ~3
Sale #6 (2 weeks) Sold for 12.99$. Keys were 1.92$. 12.99 / 1.92 = ~7
_________________________________________________________
SUMMARY
Sales:
3 x25 x2
6 x4
6.5
7 x3
8
113 and 5 are countered by buyers.
11 is high. 8 is fresh => including.
Going with 6-8 keys.
Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.