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I like Muffling
All credits to Discovery who discovered these sales
Sellers: - https://snag.gy/9z0DVE.jpg
https://backpack.tf/item/1661836211 - 1 Month @ 150 Keys
Sale 1)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050933686#!/compare/1527465600/1527984000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328288069#!/compare/1527897600/1527984000 - From Unboxer, seems low
Sale 2)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071319887#!/compare/1526601600/1526774400 - Mannco trade, not usable
Sale 3)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198289262378#!/compare/1530662400/1530748800 - Bulky
Sale 4)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198384153549#!/compare/1530662400/1530748800 - Cash/CSGO
(Other side traded too quickly)
Credits to Nervous Pyro:
Sale 5)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050933686#!/compare/1530489600/1530576000 - Sold for Tesla Coil Hong Kong Cone (120)
B/O: No Buyout
Sale 6)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003824273#!/compare/1530489600/1530576000 - Sold for a Scorching Flames Towering Pillar of Hats (119)
B/O: No Buyout
Sales we have are:
119 and 120
Rounding for neatness
Thanks =)
https://imgur.com/a/zu41ASH seller at 169$, as of writing keys are 1.98 169/1.98=85.3535354 , this seems high, not to mention this was on scrap for around 2 weeks at 90ish keys iirc
Sale #1
Sold for a Cloud 9 Merc's Mohawk (90 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29672952
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050933686#!/compare/1527465600/1527984000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328288069#!/compare/1527897600/1527984000
= 90 keys
It looks as if a Grenade Launcher skin was traded with the C9 Mohawk, but histories don't match. It's a 1-2 key difference though so it probably shouldn't matter much.
Sale #2
Sold for a Disco Beat Down Kiss King (71 keys) + 10 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071319887#!/compare/1526601600/1526774400
= 71 + 10 = 81 keys
Dunno if u excluded these or forgot about them, but they seem valid to me
These are Sales 1 and 2 from my suggestion, my reasoning for excluding them are next to them.
The Mp.tf seller has been there for less than a day. https://backpack.tf/item/5907671684 It's so young that the history hasn't updated that it's on Mp.tf
I'm going to wait to see if this matures.
https://marketplace.tf/items/984;5;u15 -- 2 sales in may for 150$
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049149130#!/compare/1527811200/1528156800 - quicksell for 69 keys
About the mannco sale, it seems that he also got 20 more keys from mann.co bots at the same day, I would suspect he got those with the remaining credits or something, if thats true that would make the sale ~100 keys.
There are a lot of low sales here, I would maybe go for a more aggressive drop and do 90-120 keys, calling both marketplace sales and the sale to sparta outliers still.
Alright, I'm on it. Thanks! :D