Price Suggestion
Massed Flies Cat's Pajamas
Submitted by dinolover321
~195 keys
flies
Unusual Cat's Pajamas Massed Flies
53 votes up
8 votes down
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Bit of a complex sale but the cat's pajamas wasn't the small part of the trade. Hopefully it'll work


Sale 1: 35 pure

https://imgur.com/a/CPTSGot

Countered by buyers at $100.75 on SCM and 31k on backpack.tf


Sale 2: sold w/ molten mallard modest scrap (indate @ 40) + '72 laugh taunt (indate @ 16) for haunted ghosts merc's Mohawk (indate but sellers 112 - 124 so I'm gonna say it's ~120)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021272428#!/compare/1531008000/1531180800

Cats Pajamas was traded away right after so it doesn't appear in the trade. Can provide steam trade evidence if needed


120 - 56 = 64 keys

Rounding to 65


Taking 65 flat

    yeah we're gonna need a screenshot on sale 2

    Eh, Im not really sure here. I have two main concerns here:


    1. That mohawk is a tricky case. It was easily in-date when this happened but had lower sellers. Using the sales from the last suggestion and using this one means the difference between 65 and 100 keys, which is a fairly large uncertainty (not even mentioning the current seller at 100 on the mohawk). Thats one of the reasons I don't like updates with sales of this sort: the percentual impact from a margin of error of an expensive hat is far smaller than that of a cheaper hat (i.e a difference of ~30 keys is far more significant on a 60 key hat (~50%) than on a 150 key hat (~20%)).


    2. I've looked at the SCM - they do indeed have buyers around 100$, but looking at that graph, most cat pajama sales on there are to buyers around or below 100$. I can't find any of them to be flies, but generally it seems like the common trading point of these low tier pajamas hangs around buy order value. Using that to disprove of a low sale doesn't seem to be the best idea here, especially not considering taxes of 15% involved, and the fact that the SCM too has lower sales on it than buyers are at right now.


    Given those two factors here I'd leave this one unpriced with the data provided.