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Will the day we price this in ref come?
New price: 5-7 keys
Proof:
Sale #1 (fresh)= 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1530748800/1530835200
Sold for 5 keys.
Sale #2 (fresh)= 8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446548676#!/compare/1530748800/1530835200
Sold for a presidents mongolian (8). Mini below.
Sale #3 (1 week)= 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082288493#!/compare/1530316800/1530403200
Sold for 5 keys.
Sale #4 (2 weeks)= invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105420574#!/compare/1529798400/1529971200
Bulk.
Sale #5 (2 months)= invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105420574#!/compare/1525564800/1525737600
Sold with a holy grail most wanted for blizzardy Connoisseur's Cap + ~1 key sweets. Better used there.
Sale #6 (3 weeks)= 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064083796#!/compare/1529107200/1529193600
Sold with a tf logo blast defense (12) + ~2 keys sweets for a maxes hat (18) = 4 keys.
bot.tf sales:
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1116&q=5&ef=Holy+Grail&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0
https://imgur.com/a/VNZnSXa
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1524434400/1524520800 - 6 keys 24 ref = ~7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357046243#!/compare/1525039200/1525125600 - 6 keys 14 ref = ~6.5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357046243#!/compare/1525989600/1526076000 - 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357046243#!/compare/1526680800/1526767200 - 6 keys 4.66 ref = ~6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1527717600/1527804000 - 6 keys 5 ref = ~6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453417865#!/compare/1528495200/1528581600 - 6
Marketplace.tf sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/1116;5;u3003
Sale #1 (2 months) Sold for 17.99$. Keys were 1.98$. 17.99 / 1.98 = ~9
Sale #2 (1 month) Sold for 12.50$. Keys were 1.96$. 12.50 / 1.96 = ~6.5
Sale #3 (1 month) Sold for 10.20$. Keys were 1.96$. 10.20 / 1.96 = ~5
Sale #4 (1 month) Sold for 16.59$. Keys were 1.95$. 16.59 / 1.95 = ~8.5
Sale #5 (3 weeks) Sold for 16.99$. Keys were 1.94$. 16.99 / 1.94 = ~9
Sale #6 (3 weeks) Sold for 17.00$. Keys were 1.91$. 17.00 / 1.91 = ~9
Sale #7 (2 weeks) Sold for 10.10$. Keys were 1.92$. 10.10 / 1.92 = ~5.5
_________________________________________________________
Minis
presidents mongolian
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312583107#!/compare/1527285600/1527372000
Sold for 8 keys 12 ref.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312583107#!/compare/1531087200/1531173600
Sold for 8 keys.
Going with 8 keys.
_________________________________________________________
SUMMARY
Sales:
4 x15 x2
5.5 x1
6 x4
6.5 x2
7 x1
8 x18.5 x1
9 x3
4 countered by buyers.
Unsold for 2 months at 9. Excluding.
8(not a pure sale) and 8.5(marketplace.tf sale) are outliers
Going with 5-7 keys.
Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.
Compare link showing the keys for the sale at ~7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169855930#!/compare/1524441600/1524528000