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To try and to fail: the two things I hate.
Succeed and this rap game: the two things that's great.
Sale #1
Sold with 21 keys for an It's a Secret to Everybody Napper's Respite (139 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29682400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198247314#!/compare/1530576000/1530662400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085116555#!/compare/1530403200/1530662400
= 139 - 21 = 118 keys
Credits to bipper.
Sale #2
Can't seem to trace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344429943#!/compare/1528588800/1528761600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198247314#!/compare/1528675200/1528761600
Sale #3
Sold with ~3 keys worth of items + Screaming Tiger Taunt: Bad Pipes (9.75 keys) for a Circling Heart Tough Stuff Muffs (117.5 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29707493
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198291809173#!/compare/1531180800/1531267200
= 117.5 - (9.75 + 3) = 105 keys
Sale #4
Sold with 40 keys for a Demonflame Detective Noir
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29620328 -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29654390
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344429943#!/compare/1526774400/1526947200
~> The only other sale for the Detective Noir was on marketplace (according to the history). Unfortunately, I couldn't track it, so I'll be using this sale to price the Detective Noir instead.
Sale #5
Can't seem to trace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065854668#!/compare/1529798400/1530921600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040898430#!/compare/1530230400/1530835200
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29654661 - 110 keys, it's actually sold now, but I can't trace the sale.
https://i.imgur.com/aifnDP5.png
x3 sellers at 120 keys (one is young, one has been selling for 4 months, and the last one has been up for 5 days)
Conclusion:
Sales at 105 and 118 keys. With a few unsuccessful sellers at 120 keys, I don't really feel comfortable rounding the high-end to 120. Going with a range of 105-118 keys as the new price.
Additional/Supportive and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.
Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ノ