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Suggestion Squad Duo 7 - Scrambled Eggs - Mini for the Burning Sack
https://backpack.tf/item/1860169372
Sale 1) Sold + 2 Keys + ~1 Key of Refined for a Blizzardy Storm Prancer's Pride (11.5 Keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342522461#!/compare/1526774400/1526860800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1526774400/1526860800
11.5 - 3 = 8.5 Keys
Prancer's Mini
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b46537444325a25a94e308d - 11.5 Keys
Sale 2) Bulk Sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1526860800/1526947200
Sold with the Strontium for 18 Keys.
https://marketplace.tf/items/30022;5;u30 - Sold for $22.5 when Keys were ~$1.97 each
22.5 / 1.97 = 8.37, which rounds to 8.5 Keys
Two buyers at 8.37... looks like 8.5 gonna be too low