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That was easy.
New price: 13-15 keys
Proof:
Sale #1 (2 months)= 13
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162282453#!/compare/1526342400/1526428800
Sold for 13 keys.
bot.tf sales:
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30614&q=5&ef=Ghastly+Ghosts&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0
https://imgur.com/a/HC4MMUL
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1528927200/1529013600 - 15
Marketplace.tf sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/30614;5;u3012
Sale #1 (3 weeks) Sold for 25.99$. Keys were 1.93$. 25.99 / 1.93 = ~13
_________________________________________________________
SUMMARY
Sales:
13 x2
15 x1
Going with 13-15 keys.
Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.
The bot.tf sale wasn't for 15 keys, it sold for a T-Watt Private Eye:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136873827#!/compare/1528761600/1528848000
The amount listed on bot.tf is the B/O of the seller, which might or might not match with the actual sale. That's why you have to show the keys/items involved in order to use bot.tf sales.
The Private Eye sold for an unusual RL (buyers at 18+ keys) here, so the sale will cap at 15
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136873827#!/compare/1528070400/1528156800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220198628#!/compare/1528070400/1528156800
Keep that in mind for future reference.