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Scorching Flames Trophy Belt
Duo 6
Sale 1: Sold for Burning Drill hat (125)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307708827#!/compare/1523577600/1523664000
Mini: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b4879efcf6c753ae14a2c2e
Sale 2: Sold for Burning Flames Trophy Belt (113) + 55 keys pure --> 168
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035512290#!/compare/1529625600/1529712000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099389110#!/compare/1529625600/1529712000
https://imgur.com/a/g2jsjB7 (credits Ryuke [TBM α])
Sale 3: Sold for Demonflame Wet Works + 10 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307708827#!/compare/1526601600/1526688000
The Wet Works is best not used here
Young seller at 155; unsold for 4 months at 160
https://i.imgur.com/TnA2qJu.png
Sales at 125, 168. Suggesting range from 125 to 170 with a bit of rounding.
Thanks to Woifi for his help here.
New wet works sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112516663#!/compare/1532649600/1532736000 70 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198825748033#!/compare/1532217600/1532304000 ghastly dapper?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112516663#!/compare/1532217600/1532304000 seems to have bought the dapper with keys first here
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198825748033#!/compare/1531526400/1531699200 those 2 hats and the unusual shotgun (caps at 95: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29711430 )
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086070401#!/compare/1531353600/1531526400 90 keys
Estimating the common trading point at 90-95t here (70 seems to be the outlier here; at current the dapper would be the high counterpart), that sale'd be 103 here.
New sellers have popped up at 120, and 160 has been unsold for 6 months now. I feel the high end is going to be high here.
Since it seems the drill is going to be reworked, I think it's best to wait for the outcome there and then see what the best option here is.
So 105-140 keys seems like the new best range.
Alright, I'll resuggest at that.