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Strange Burning Flames Field Practice
Sale 1: 220 USD on mp.tf; 1 key = 1.96 USD --> 112 keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/30862;5;u13;strange
http://manicbot.me/keyprice.txt
https://backpack.tf/item/6239597514
Sale 2: 360 USD on mp.tf; 1 key = 1.96 USD --> 184 keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/30862;5;u13;strange
http://manicbot.me/keyprice.txt
https://backpack.tf/item/6043624181
Sale 3: Sold for Sunbeams Pithy Professional (205); caps at 200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081706519#!/compare/1531353600/1531440000
Mini: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b40ae9fcf6c7517a1172f21
B/O: 200 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29709326
Sale 4: Bulk: Sold with Death at Dusk Engineer's Cap + Morning Glory Ze Goggles + Isotope Killstreak Damascus & Mahogany Medi Gun (Minimal Wear) for Frostbite Vive La France + Showstopper Taunt: The Jumping Jack (10) + Stormy 13th Hour Engineer's Cap + Screaming Tiger Taunt: The Dueling Banjo + ~1 key
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065409820#!/compare/1525910400/1525996800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093926010#!/compare/1525824000/1525996800
Sale 5: Untraceable; only 24 keys match
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093926010#!/compare/1531267200/1531353600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081706519#!/compare/1531267200/1531353600
Sale 6: Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058067546#!/compare/1524960000/1525132800
Seller at 280; no buyers. https://i.imgur.com/gtdhEov.png
Non-strange has buyers at 80. https://i.imgur.com/JPFayic.png
Sales at: 112, 184, 200. Suggesting range from 185 to 200. Calling 112 low. Also sold directly from unboxer on mp.tf before the histories even registered the seller's name. Could have been a quicksell.
Sold with a couple keys in items for Circling Heart Team Captain, Purple Confetti Blighted Beak, FoD Mannrobics, Showstopper Squeezebox and 15 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396499936#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049265461#!/compare/1532131200/1532217600
I'm currently working on the Mannrobics, and so far it's gonna have a mid-point of either 18 or 19.
Beak is in-date at 50.
The other two will need to be mini'd, however. B/O was 280, as shown in your screenshot of sellers.
If it caps at 280 then I'd call it an outlier with 2 sales way below that at 184 and 200. On the same basis I excluded 112 as a low outlier.
It'll probably end up around ~250 keys, given the seller at 149 on the Heart TC.
Mannrobics is up at 19 now too.
180 to 250 seems quite large for the range, too. What do you think, Jarool?
I'd say it's at least worth looking into the TC first
The TC is unsold at 149 for one month (clean). So I doubt the TC would be any higher than that.
Sold here by the looks of it for 149 - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041822925#!/compare/1532476800/1532822400
So the sale in the end would come to 254. I've seen much worse ranges than 185-255. Id be fine with a re-suggest at that.
255 is an obvious outlier based on 4 sales below that. Also 150 to 200 would be a smaller range if you want to include one of the new sales. Nothing counters 150 so why exclude that?
ok my comment for 149 was for the TC mini, so there is still only 3 sales under 255 and I dont see a real reason to exclude 255
Ah, I guess there was some confusion about the 149 keys.
So then we have sales at 112, 184, 200 and 254. Correct? It would seem that 254 is an outlier based on the other 3 sales just as much as 112 is an outlier. Or on what basis would you want it included?
ehh my thing here is that the trade isnt old compared to the 2 other sales lower valid sales, there's no sellers at would call 255 higher either.But I get what your saying since we could cut off both ends and just go with the range you already have here. Im fine with either tbh
Yes that's what I would propose. I think 185 to 200 works because we exclude both the very high and the very low sale
yeh im cool with that, gonna accept.