First ref suggestion and I have no idea how to format this LOL

I think I fixed it :D

Refined Metal

Key price in refined: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b4c1ceccf6c754f670bcf21 = 32.83 refined metal.

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Marketplace.tf key sales.

https://marketplace.tf/items/5021;6/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

• Key sales for 7-18-2018

http://prntscr.com/k87q7y

Most sales around the $1.94 value.

• Key sales for 7-17-2018

http://prntscr.com/k85euk

Most sales around the $1.95-$1.96 value.

• Key sales for 7-16-2018

http://prntscr.com/k85fb1

Most sales around the $1.95-$1.96 value.

Gonna use the median of $1.94 and $1.96.

$1.95 * 0.9 = ~$1.76

$1.76 / 32.83 = Roughly ~$0.05

Taking $0.05

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Marketplace.tf refined sales

Buy orders @ 0.06 and sellers + sales @ 0.08

https://marketplace.tf/items/5002;6/Refined%20Metal

After taxes that’d = $0.06-$0.07ish

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Forums sellers

$1.99 / 32.83 = ~0.06

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/40370-naknaks-keys-199-or-%E2%82%AC169-no-rep-needed-any-currency-accepted-100s-in-stock/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197969363424

Sold 53 keys @ 91 USD = $1.72 per key.

Taking $0.05

$1.95 / 32.83 = ~0.06

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/38399-frosts-key-shop-195-paypalbtcethltcxmr-per-key-trusted/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198061836787

Nothing recent from what I can see

€1.57 → $1.85 / 32.83 = ~ 0.056 → ~0.06

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/57779-selling-tf2-keys-157-euro-each/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198091706202

Taking $0.06

$1.87 / 32.83 = ~0.057 → ~0.06

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/47271-300-rep-rockets-keys-for-187-via-paypal/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198049171595

Taking $0.06

$1.80 / 32.83 = ~0.055 → ~0.06

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/66903-selling-keys-for-180-usd/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198056793444

Nothing recent from what I can see

$1.80 / 32.83 = ~0.055 → ~0.06

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/67658-selling-backpack-for-purecash-selling-123-keys-180-ea/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198045611871

Nothing recent from what I can see

$1.80 / 32.83 = ~0.055 → ~0.06

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/59687-selling-keys-180-each/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198001300729

Taking $0.06

$1.85 / 32.83 = ~ 0.056 → ~0.06

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/67575-s330-keys-185-each-80-rep/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198129552058

Taking $0.06

Sellers seem to be around the $0.06 area and some have sold keys for their respective prices based on their trusts.

Taking $0.06

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Other sellers

$2 for keys and $0.10 for refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12419098

$1.85 for keys and ~$0.07 for refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28665529

$0.08 for refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29210913

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Forums buyers and other buyers

$1.78 / 32.83 = ~0.054 → 0.05

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/67665-bbackpacks-and-keys-with-paypal/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198139171368

Taking $0.05

$1.80 / 32.83 = ~0.054 → 0.05

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/66342-178-for-your-tf2-keys-paypal-us/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197968633696

Taking $0.05

$1.77 / 32.83 = ~0.054 → 0.05 and refined at $0.055 → 0.06 {Can be supportive}

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/39876-b-tf2-keys177-ref0055paypalamazon-whole-backpacks-rep-for-days/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198032131059

Nothing recent from what I can see

$1.76 / 32.83 = ~0.054 → 0.05

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/66758-buying-keys-for-176-usd-via-paypaltrusted-trader6/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198063345374

Taking $0.05

$1.76 / 32.83 = ~0.054 → 0.05

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/56191-buying-keys176-going-first%E2%99%A5backpacks%E2%99%A5unusuals-paypal-huge-rep-you-dont-need-any-rep/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198248326208

Taking $0.05

$1.72 / 32.83 = ~0.052 → 0.05

https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/47073-174-usd-for-your-keys-no-rep-needed-veteran-trusted-trader/

https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197969363424

Taking $0.05

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So in conclusion

Buyers @ $0.05 mainly and sellers @ $0.06. Lots of sales in the $0.05 region for sure because of marketplace.tf, and a seemingly decent amount in the $0.06 area. Some others also selling close to the median but I rounded down so I’m taking the range

Full disclaimer: I'm not trying to use refined sales as primary evidence. I'm just reporting it as it could be used for possible support.

Let me know if I fucked up anything or how I can improve. Thanks!

Final Price: $0.05-$0.06