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Redoing this with the help of K1ng.
New price: 15-20 keys
Proof:
Sale #1 (2 months)= 18
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060370030#!/compare/1527379200/1527465600
Sold for 12 keys + sweets (~5 keys) = 18 keys.
Sale #2 (fresh)= 17
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095236132#!/compare/1532131200/1532217600
Sold for 17 keys.
Sale #3 (fresh)= 18
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036445124#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200
Sold for 18 keys.
Sale #4 (1 month)= invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123248183#!/compare/1529712000/1529884800
Sold for a steaming ye olde baker boy. Not gonna mini. It has an unsold for 7 months at 15 keys, making it 14 keys at best, which is below buyers.
Sale #5 (2 weeks)= 16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328419180#!/compare/1531008000/1531094400
Sold for 16 keys.
Sale #6 (1 month)= invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168863803#!/compare/1529625600/1529712000
Sold for a steaming brass bucket + australium frontier justice (9). Better used there, since unpriced and only 5 in existance.
Sale #7 (2 months)= 16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198370713049#!/compare/1526256000/1526342400
Sold for 16 keys.
Sale #8 (3 months)= invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156512874#!/compare/1525737600/1525824000
Sold for a tf logo airdog. Hard to trace, but i think the buyer has bought the airdog just before trading it for the shark hat, making the buyer not appear in the airdog history. Unsure tho. Excluding.
Sale #9 (3 months)= 15
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042664706#!/compare/1524614400/1524700800
Sold for 15 keys.
bot.tf sales:
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30800&q=5&ef=Starstorm+Slumber&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0
https://imgur.com/a/X8ahJST
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1524520800/1524607200 - Untracable = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1524866400/1524952800 - Untracable = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453417865#!/compare/1526076000/1526162400 - 16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453417865#!/compare/1526162400/1526248800 - 3 keys missing. Can't trace them. = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198386441509#!/compare/1526428800/1526515200 - 18
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382589541#!/compare/1526594400/1526680800 - 17 keys 10 ref = ~17
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453417865#!/compare/1527285600/1527372000 - 19
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382654640#!/compare/1530309600/1530396000 - Untracable. Looks like private inventory = invalid
7 quicksells at ~15 keys, 1 at ~16.
Marketplace.tf sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/30800;5;u110
Sale #1 (2 months) Sold for 39.99$. Keys were 1.97$. 39.99/1.97 = ~20 keys
Sale #2 (2 months) Sold for 45.00$. Keys were 1.94$. 45/1.94 = ~23 keys
Sale #3 (2 weeks) Sold for 25.01$. Buy orders above this = invalid
_________________________________________________________
SUMMARY
Sales:
15 x8
16 x4
17 x2
18 x3
19 x1
20 x1
23 x1Buyer at >15, but doesn't counter 8 sales.
23 is high.
Going with 15-20 keys.
Feel free to add proof to support or counter my new price.