Cheers for letting me take over, seVen.

Using last month.

Sale 1:

Sold for 5 keys + 13 ref (Buyer’s end)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1531785600/1531872000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388578474#!/compare/1531785600/1531872000

Bot.tf confirms. https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

X = 5.5

Sale 2:

Sold for 5 keys + 13 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1530662400/1530748800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446548676#!/compare/1530662400/1530748800

Bot.tf confirms: https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

X = 5.5

Sale 3:

Sold for 5 keys + 10 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198833317554#!/compare/1531958400/1532044800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041565248#!/compare/1531958400/1532044800

Bot.tf confirms: https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

X = 5.5

Sale 4:

Sold for $10.49 on marketplace.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/1116;5;u3005

10.49/1.95 = ~5.38

X = 5.5

Sale 5:

Sold for 5 keys + 13 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1530748800/1530835200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446548676#!/compare/1530748800/1530835200

Untraceable. Bot.tf confirms, but it is unreliable. https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

X = 5.5?

Sale 6:

Sold to a bot for 4 keys + 18.11 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120574762#!/compare/1530748800/1532649600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1530662400/1530748800

Untraceable. Bot.tf confirms, but it is unreliable.

X = 4.5?

Sale 7:

Sold to a bot for 4 keys + 18.11 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446548676#!/compare/1530835200/1530921600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1530748800/1530835200

Untraceable. Bot.tf confirms, but it is unreliable. https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

X = 4.5?

Sale 8:

Sold to a bot for 4 keys + 18.11 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184387405#!/compare/1531353600/1531440000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1531353600/1531440000

Untraceable. Bot.tf confirms, but it is unreliable. https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

X = 4.5?

Sale 9:

Sold to a bot for 4 keys + 18.11 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089894338#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200

Untraceable. Bot.tf confirms, but it is unreliable. https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

X = 4.5?

Sale 10:

Sold to a bot for 4 keys + 18.11 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136702159#!/compare/1529884800/1530835200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1530230400/1530316800

Untraceable, apart from the ref. Bot.tf confirms, but it is unreliable. https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

X = 4.5?

Sale 11:

Sold to a bot for 4 keys + 16 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144945119#!/compare/1532476800/1532563200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198515764827#!/compare/1532556000/1532642400

Untraceable. Bot.tf confirms, but it is unreliable. https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

X = 4.5?

Sale 12:

Sold to a bot for 4 keys?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273732193#!/compare/1531958400/1532044800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198833317554#!/compare/1531958400/1532044800

Untraceable. Bot.tf confirms, but it is unreliable. https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

X = 4?

Sale 13:

Sold to a bot for 4 keys?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138408723#!/compare/1529884800/1532563200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198833317554#!/compare/1532476800/1532563200

Untraceable. Bot.tf confirms, but it is unreliable. https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

X = 4?

Sale 14:

Sold for Smoking Base Metal Billycock

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446548676#!/compare/1530662400/1530748800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801132607#!/compare/1530748800/1531872000

Large outlier, excluding.

Sale 15:

Sold for items?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1531094400/1531180800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184387405#!/compare/1531008000/1531267200

Only the Strange Eyecatcher matches, as far as I’m concerned. Bot.tf marks it as a 5 key + 13 ref sale, which further proves its unreliability. https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

Sale 16:

Sold for Spelled Cardbeard Cutthroat

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081338863#!/compare/1531958400/1532044800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273732193#!/compare/1531958400/1532044800

Couldn’t get a mini on the cutthroat. Excluding this sale.

Sale 17:

Sold with a couple keys in items for FoD Breakdance

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388578474#!/compare/1531785600/1531872000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118672831#!/compare/1531612800/1531872000

Will be used on the Breakdance.

Of all 9 buys seen in bot.tf in the last 30 days, 8 have been included here. The 9th is untraceable to the point where I can’t find the item’s history. https://i.imgur.com/gPzZ8PN.png

The sale with the missing item is the 4 key one that occurred on 7/20. Clicking on the link brings you here https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198833317554#!/compare/1532037600/1532124000

Sellers:

5 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/YGPuNdp.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2994928935

https://backpack.tf/item/2874796479

https://backpack.tf/item/5634249494

~5.3 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/YTwYIOM.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6149680903

https://backpack.tf/item/2907273260

5.4 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/2xDoOfU.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2967081434

7 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/MjPGkp5.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6464043999

8 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/eYAVcDh.png

https://backpack.tf/item/3250311852

12 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/ZHFzezq.png

https://i.imgur.com/IQdpq3S.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2964889197

https://backpack.tf/item/2918145297

https://backpack.tf/item/6556200070

https://backpack.tf/item/4702427746

Sales at:

5.5 (4x)

And untraceable sales at 4 (3x), 4.5 (6x) and 5.5.

Sellers at 5.

Going with 5-5.5.

Sold for Strange Fast Learner (~4) + ~1 key in pure

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118672831#!/compare/1532649600/1532736000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336895295#!/compare/1532649600/1532736000

X = 5

So now we have a sale at the low-end, not just sellers.