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Creds tf2scourge
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198293654690#!/compare/1530316800/1530403200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087511120#!/compare/1530662400/1530835200
Doesn't match up, but there is a SCM sale:
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Festivized%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Flower%20Power%20Shotgun%20%28Battle%20Scarred%29
Sold for 63.81 CAD
Keys at 3.06 CAD
Total is 20.86 keys
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087511120#!/compare/1531353600/1531440000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188012822#!/compare/1530316800/1531440000
Sold for 21 keys + negligble ref
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188012822#!/compare/1532217600/1532563200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1532131200/1532217600
QS?
Lets take 21 flat.