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Re-suggesting credits to TF2Scourge for clarifying sale #4.
Time to try price the unpriced before one of the only useable sales becomes out of date.
IN-DATE SALES:
Sale #1 = 23.5 keys (using)
Sold with 3 keys for a DBD Baron von Havenaplane (in-date, 20.5 keys) = 20.5 + 3 = 23.5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278784183#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087390671#!/compare/1532131200/1532217600 (keys untraceable)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #2 = N/A
Sold 1 for 1 for a 1:1 Circling Heart Wide-Brimmed Bandito (unpriced, going to use this there)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041566332#!/compare/1528156800/1528243200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087390671#!/compare/1528156800/1528243200
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #3 = 15 keys (excluding)
Quicksold to Beaser’s buy order for 15 keys
https://prnt.sc/keahuh
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165597659#!/compare/1533168000/1533254400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1533168000/1533254400
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #4 = 25 keys (using)
Sold for 25 keys pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018528305#!/compare/1530662400/1530748800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197828049#!/compare/1530489600/1530748800
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #5 = $100 = ~50 keys on Marketplace (excluding, outlier)
Keys were $1.99 on the day
https://prnt.sc/keanc5
https://prnt.sc/keanft
Also, I forget if read on a suggestion somewhere that I've forgotten if it was this hat or another that was traded back after the Marketplace sale. Any clarification would be appreciated.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #6 = $25 = ~13 keys on Marketplace (excluding, outlier)
Keys were $1.94 on the day
https://prnt.sc/keaqsx
https://prnt.sc/keaqxi
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
OLDER SALES (2-3 months ago):
Sale #7 = ??
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116551396#!/compare/1526601600/1527206400 (SCM?)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119825561#!/compare/1527120000/1527292800 (SCM?)
Regardless, afaik none of the sales within the date range would be priced over 19 keys in NZD.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #8 = ??
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135464204#!/compare/1527724800/1533168000 (SCM?)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165597659#!/compare/1521331200/1529712000 (SCM?)
As above, afaik none of the sales within the date range would be priced over 19 keys in NZD.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
SELLERS:
Classies: 25 (young), 30, 30, 35, 45, 50
Outpost: only sellers on classies
Marketplace: $100 = ~53 keys at time of writing (keys @ 1.90ea), however seller has b/o of 45 on classies
SCM: ~45, ~46, ~57
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
BUYERS:
Classies: 15 (probably invalid since Beaser bought one a few hours ago), 9.27 keys and below generic buyers
SCM: ~11.4 generic buyers
Marketplace: ~7.9 (keys @ 1.90ea at time of writing)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
So we have 23.5, 15, 25, 50 & 13
Calling 50 a high outlier based on lower sellers
Calling 13 & 15 outliers as they are quicksales / buy orders
Rounding 23.5 and taking a range of 24-25
This is my second suggestion attempt: please give me any feedback, provide more information, or provide counters to anything that is incorrect, thanks!