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EVENT SUGGESTION!
Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049088610#!/compare/1528588800/1528675200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123224716#!/compare/1528588800/1528675200
Sold for a clean Orbiting Fire Conjurer's Cowl (17) + a Mega Strike Taunt: Scotsmann's Stagger (6)
17 + 6 = 23
Minis:
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b66582e44325a771f7919c1
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b664fb4cf6c755a333707a7
Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043897422#!/compare/1528675200/1528761600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049088610#!/compare/1528675200/1528934400
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20The%20Dueling%20Banjo?filter=Showstopper
19.87/2.11 = ~9
Sale 3: https://marketplace.tf/items/30842;5;u3001 - 39.99/1.96 = ~20
Sale 4: https://marketplace.tf/items/30842;5;u3001 - 40/1.95 = ~20
Sale 5: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239886606#!/compare/1530662400/1530748800 - ?
Sale 6: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027603870#!/compare/1530144000/1530230400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1530144000/1530230400
14 keys and 17 ref (15).
Sale 7: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1532217600/1532304000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142320206#!/compare/1532217600/1532304000
Taunt 4 taunt.
Sale 8: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092702958#!/compare/1420012800/1532649600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1532563200/1532649600
Sold for a clean Orbiting Fire Katyusha (11 keys) + about 3 keys in adds.
11 + 3 = 14
Sale 9: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125819465#!/compare/1528329600/1528416000
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20The%20Dueling%20Banjo?filter=Showstopper
26.09/2.11 = 12
Sale 10: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044684270#!/compare/1529798400/1529884800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125819465#!/compare/1529798400/1529884800
?
Sale 11: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165544523#!/compare/1532217600/1532304000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198243810876#!/compare/1531699200/1532304000
?
Sales: 23, 9, 20, 20, 15, 14 and 12. Classies: https://i.imgur.com/tBZjVoK.png. 14-20.
This probably indicates my initial guess on the cowl - I think the cowl suggestion's going to be too high. It was a (currently hidden) listing at 16, up for 4 months. Can't tell exactly how active it has been, but it makes the range there look high.
It does not matter here since it's not used here (which eliminates the issue since that means it wont award points in either case).
On the note of SCM sales here - this is a good example of how some sales can't be used. I can't really find your value anywhere on either of the 2 dates (sale 12), and your 9 sale has 6 sales spread over 2 days, grouped together and thus averaged. That too does not matter here since it wasn't used, so all in all, this suggestion itself will be fine.