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Team 5 Suggestion 15
https://backpack.tf/item/4027379842 ← Marketplace sale.
https://backpack.tf/item/6413992523 ← No usable sales.
https://marketplace.tf/items/30570;5;u3009 - Sold for $18 when Keys were ~$1.94 each
18 / 1.94 = 9.28, which rounds to 9.5 Keys
The first history link doesn't match with the marketplace sale at 9.5. Not sure what it sold for, probably unusualified
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102485753#!/compare/1532476800/1532563200
Sale at 10 here, but it's untraceable (other side hasn't been updated yet)
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30570&q=5&ef=Silver+Cyclone&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1532037600/1532124000
This should be ok I guess.