Hat

Sale 1: $105

https://marketplace.tf/items/30846;5;u57/Terror-Watt%20Plumber's%20Cap

$105 / $1.92 = 55k

Sale 2: uncertain keys have different histories than the unusual

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346618954#!/compare/1526688000/1526774400

Sale 3: untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320412894#!/compare/1528416000/1528502400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314160142#!/compare/1528416000/1528502400

Sale 4: untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840048026#!/compare/1529712000/1530921600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320412894#!/compare/1528502400/1530835200

Sale 5: 28 pure + N&B Sky High Fly (counting it as 8 keys since there’s a seller @ 8 keys and buyers @ 7 keys for any effect) + Orb. Fire Warhood (15) + PE Sky High Fly (indate @ 29) + Screaming Tiger Kazotsky (35) + Dead Presidents Sky High Fly (8k) + Plumber’s Cap (~1.2k)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198265536836#!/compare/1528070400/1528156800

Mini for DP Sky: 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050052801#!/compare/1527984000/1528156800

Mini for kazotsky: 35 keys

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b378f8dcf6c7573ef11b56c

Mini for warhood: Orb. Fire Toy Soldier + 1 key

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255850609#!/compare/1528675200/1528848000

Can’t find good mini for toy except for a 1:1 for a Miami Nights L'homme Burglerre which there’s a seller @ 13.37 which is too low when there’s buyers for warhood @ 12.5 Keys. There’s a seller at 16 for the toy so I’m gonna round down to 15 since there’s a lower sale that supports a lower price.

Taking 14 keys for warhood mini

28 + 8 + 14 + 29 + 35 + 8 + 1 = 123 keys

Rounding to 125 keys

Couldn’t find a B/O on tf2outpost of the seller so I’m not capping it

Sales we have are 55 and 125

Excluding 55 as there's a buyer @ 51k

Seller at 100. Using that in range

Taking 100-125 range