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Team 6 - Day 5
Sale 1:
Sold for 18 keys
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122419724#!/compare/1532304000/1532736000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198187962094#!/compare/1531785600/1532822400
Nothing matches, but I just so happen to have confirmation from the buyer: https://i.imgur.com/hmSfjrV.png
X = 18
Sale 2:
Sold for $29.99 on marketplace.tf
https://marketplace.tf/items/30014;5;u56
29.99/1.97 = ~15.2
X = 15
Sale 3:
Sold for Smoking Sky High Fly Guy (8.5)
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198187962094#!/compare/1532822400/1532908800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028533587#!/compare/1532822400/1532908800
X = 8.5
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29727406 - 15
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29732525 - 15
Sales at 8.5, 15, 18
8.5 is an obvious outlier, excluding.
Going to exclude 18, given the two sellers at 15, and due to the buyer of the 18 sale re-selling for less than half the value.
Going with 15 flat.