Using sales from July onwards.

Sale 1:

Sold for 12 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302233141#!/compare/1530316800/1530403200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197987336980#!/compare/1530403200/1531353600

X = 12

Sale 2:

Sold for 7 keys + 32 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1531353600/1531440000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090337076#!/compare/1531353600/1531526400

The 7 keys match on the buyer’s end, but the ref metal doesn’t appear on either end. It’s likely that the buyer sold the other items for ref and used it on the taunt. https://i.imgur.com/v6BH9BO.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6298981667

X = 8

Sale 3:

Sold with ~1.5 keys in pure for Steaming Gym Rat (Suggestion at 7.75)

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129202773#!/compare/1532044800/1532304000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198404637828#!/compare/1532217600/1532304000

https://backpack.tf/item/6368907134

X = 6.5 (Rounded from 6.25)

Sale 4:

Sold with 3 scrap for 6 keys and 2 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168756476#!/compare/1533168000/1533254400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1533168000/1533254400

https://i.imgur.com/v6BH9BO.png - Bot.tf suggests the sale was 6 keys + 6.11 ref, which still rounds to 6, so I’ll count it here.

https://backpack.tf/item/6261924720

X = 6

Sale 5:

Sold for 6 keys + 6.11 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198257181978#!/compare/1533081600/1533168000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1532995200/1533081600

X = 6

Sale 6:

Sold for Cyclone Fresh Brewed Victory (5)

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260501698#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144945119#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200

https://backpack.tf/item/6970550171

X = 5

Sale 7:

Sold for 4 keys + Strange Festivized Sniper Rifle (~1)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173545501#!/compare/1530921600/1531094400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093230303#!/compare/1530489600/1531180800

https://backpack.tf/item/6356833025

X = 5

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/ZjeZKQG.png

~7.45 keys:

https://backpack.tf/item/7012277330

~7.6 keys:

https://backpack.tf/item/6261924720

https://backpack.tf/item/6277425538

12 keys:

https://backpack.tf/item/6256664352

https://backpack.tf/item/6407275845

15 keys:

https://backpack.tf/item/6284749863

Sales at:

5 (2x)

6 (2x)

6.5

8

12

5 is significantly below current buyers: https://i.imgur.com/yKvest9.png - excluding 5.

6 is also below the buyers, but it’s as common as 5, and excluding both 5 and 6 wouldn’t represent the common trading points accurately.

12 is an outlier given current sellers. Excluding 12.

6 may be a bit low, and 8 may be a bit high, but keeping both in the range should balance things out.

Going with 6-8.

2nd seller at ~7.6 sold for Cyclone Didgeridrongo (6.5) + 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006544512#!/compare/1534118400/1534204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086818690#!/compare/1534204800/1534464000

https://backpack.tf/item/6277425538

Caps at the B/O of ~7.5.

Not sure if I should re-suggest at 6.5-7.5 or keep it like this now.