Suggestion: Green Energy Nasty Norsemann at 95 keys

Price Suggestion

~120 keys

g.nrg

55 votes up

5 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Wed, 19 Sep 18 15:21:55 +0000 by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Comments

Resuggesting!

Sale 1: Strange Ghastly Ghosts Jr Ground Control + 4 pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112516663#!/compare/1528070400/1528156800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192118853#!/compare/1528156800/1528243200

Mini for ground: 1:1'd with Burning Flames Hedge (in date at 100)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192118853#!/compare/1527984000/1528070400

Seller had a B/O of 90 for the Hedge

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29671863

Taking that

Also, multiple sellers unsold at 75-95 for 10+ days so it's better to use his B/O

Taking 94 keys for the sale

rounding to 95

Sale 2: Bulk for Vivid Plasma KE (excluding)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112516663#!/compare/1527984000/1528070400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072738316#!/compare/1527984000/1528070400

Sale 3: Bulk for Scorching Flames Tundra Top (Excluding)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072738316#!/compare/1527638400/1527984000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259739195#!/compare/1527638400/1527984000

Sale 4: 210 keys pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192118853#!/compare/1530230400/1530316800

Valid sales we have are 95 and 210

Excluding 210 since other sales prove that it is a clear outlier

Taking 95!

Poor guy that bought it for 210 pure since the owne's b/o was 210. I don't care because I paid 130 in unusuals and won't sell it for less, but that guy...When blue buys an unusual that cost 300-400keys for 600-700keys, "it's not outlier".

Thats because when blue buys a hat for 600-700 keys wroth 300-400, it is the only sale, and its in pure going to a well known collector, rather than 1 sale at 210 keys and 3 below thjat

1 of 5 green black hole tyrolean that could be easily bought for 150 pure. He paid 200 Keys pure and moderators accepted that. Haha. Make me laugh. Proof: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b48b574cf6c7542926493ed. Maybe if blue had bought the norsemann for 210, the price would have increased. "oh, the norsemann sold in the past for 95, 130; now, it has sold for 210 pure and it's an outlier." "Tyrolean has sold in the past for 44-55 and now it has sold for 200, and it's not an outlier."Looks good.

It has sold in the past for 44-55, but those sales were outdated. That 200 key sale was the only recent sale available within a three month span. Maybe it could've been bought at 150, but 200 keys is what he paid for it. As for the norse, the sales are 95, 130 ( not sure haven't checked yet), and 210 pure. The 210 key sale is clearly a high outlier when you compare it to sales 80-115 keys off that, and the excluded sales also support the the lower side of the sales. Harvest moon is priced at 200. No way in hell green energy is 10 keys more

How could it be na outlier if he or she found a b/o at 210? It makes no sense. The logic is: "wait 3 months, than the smaller sales will be outadated, so you can buy it at 210 and the price will be suggested at 210. Alright, I'm wrong.

You can check the previous suggestion. The owner with the 210 B/O in the previous suggestion said he would've taken 110 but he changed it to 210 just to see what he'd get when he saw how much the GE Dark Falkirk went for.

Those sales for 44-55 were 3 years ago, prices change. However had there been a sale at 95 and 2 bulk sales supporting 1 sale at 210 being an outlier that wouldnt have passed. You're acting like blue gets favorited just because hes a collector, when rather most of his buys are full pure and there arent any other sales. An example of a suggestion like this one is https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ad4cacd44325a607009dc1c

Blue paid 600, there was a sale that was around the 200ish keys mark, and the 600 key sale was called high. When theres 1 sale for full pure, its hard to dispute, but when other sales suggest that the full pure sale is an outlier then you cant expect it to be priced at that full pure sale.

Edit: another example https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b7b306244325a390c7207a9

uhh what you said is sorta similar to my comment. I understand what you're saying, and I agree with you. Maybe you meant to respond to Ds?

Yes, i did

I agree with you in parts. For me, that tyrolean sale is an outlier. No one will buy it again for 200 keys. It's only for medic, its effect is green black hole (a mid-tier effect) and it's 1 of 5. He could have offered 100-150 pure and the owner would have accepted; but as he is the king of no sense prices, he paid 200keys. Be honest, it doens't cost 200 keys.

He paid what he felt it was worth to him. It may not sell for that price again, but 200 keys is far more accurate than 40

Oh damn I forgot that this is 1 of 2. I will probably look into the sales of yours on my free time and resuggest if there's a major difference.

Keep it at 95. It won't change the fact that that man was impaired. Maybe, someday, someone rich buy it for 300 and they up the price with the argument that he or she is a "collector" like Blue.