Sales 1 & 2:

Sold for $45 twice on marketplace.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/633;5;u56

https://backpack.tf/item/2470363766

https://backpack.tf/item/2405899704 - Same owner for both, no visible B/O’s on either

http://manicbot.me/keyprice/?at=2018-08-08 - 45/1.89 = ~23.81

http://manicbot.me/keyprice/?at=2018-08-13 - 45/1.88 = ~23.94

X = 24 (2x)

Sale 3:

Sold for 21 keys + more than half a key in ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1530662400/1530748800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148149691#!/compare/1530662400/1530921600

https://backpack.tf/item/3567370336

X = 22

Sale 4:

Quicksold for 20 keys + 22 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074971373#!/compare/1534464000/1534550400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353286168#!/compare/1534464000/1534550400

https://backpack.tf/item/6771934147

X = 21

Sale 5:

Sold for 21 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840048026#!/compare/1534464000/1534550400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337486020#!/compare/1533168000/1534550400

https://backpack.tf/item/2405899704

X = 21

Sale 6:

Bought off scrap.tf with a small amount of ref for 20 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1527984000/1528070400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087042029#!/compare/1527984000/1528070400

https://backpack.tf/item/5065481170

X = 20

Sale 7:

Sold for 20 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043826027#!/compare/1531699200/1531785600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191291749#!/compare/1531699200/1531785600

https://backpack.tf/item/6947535330

X = 20

Sale 8:

Sold for 20 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118235963#!/compare/1531612800/1531699200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258264645#!/compare/1531612800/1531699200

https://backpack.tf/item/3567370336

X = 20

Sale 9:

Sold for Spec. KS Aus Flamethrower (~16.5) + cheap items (~0.5)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198345331768#!/compare/1531699200/1531785600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978024565#!/compare/1531526400/1531785600

https://backpack.tf/item/6947535330

X = 17

Unusable/Untraceable sales:

#1

Bulk for Cloudy Moon Magistrate’s Mullet

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258264645#!/compare/1532217600/1532304000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166314775#!/compare/1532217600/1532304000

https://backpack.tf/item/3567370336

#2

Bulk, most likely for pure

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166314775#!/compare/1532649600/1532736000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1532649600/1532736000

https://backpack.tf/item/3567370336

#3

Bulk for Vivid BoA

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978024565#!/compare/1531526400/1531785600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043826027#!/compare/1531699200/1531785600

https://backpack.tf/item/6947535330

#4 (NSFW)

Sold for ~80 loli conscientious objectors…

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198412639659#!/compare/1528934400/1529107200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043982289#!/compare/1529020800/1529107200

https://backpack.tf/item/3567370336

Basically worthless.

#5

Untraceable auction

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072482978 - Can’t generate a compare link from the current date despite it clearly being recorded on their backpack. May end up working later once I’ve forgotten about this sale.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840048026#!/compare/1534032000/1534550400

https://backpack.tf/item/2405899704

#6

Bought from scrap.tf for 18 keys + some ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1533427200/1533513600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198250012304#!/compare/1533427200/1533513600

https://backpack.tf/item/6771934147

Given scrap.tf’s current rates (19 keys + 20.11 ref for a flies human cannonball, priced at 27), I’d say this is a little off, and is missing a little bit.

https://i.imgur.com/6ogsAes.png

https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Human%20Cannonball/Tradable/Craftable/12

Labelling as untraceable.

#7

Sold for Stormy Storm Universal Translator

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148149691#!/compare/1531353600/1531440000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118235963#!/compare/1531353600/1531440000

https://backpack.tf/item/3567370336

Can be used on the UT.

#8

Bulk for Insomnia Titanium Pillar + some keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353286168#!/compare/1534636800/1534723200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275783474#!/compare/1534550400/1534723200

https://backpack.tf/item/6771934147

#9

Sold for Circling Peace Sign Firewall Helmet? through scrap.tf

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317267351#!/compare/1532649600/1533513600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1533427200/1533513600

https://backpack.tf/item/6771934147

ID’s don’t match, and the item doesn’t appear to be modified. It’s more likely that it sold for keys, then the guy used keys to buy the firewall helmet off scrap.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/48r4DMk.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2405899704 - 22 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3567370336 - 26 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6947535330 - 26 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/1979469530 - 27 keys

Sales at:

17

20 (3x)

21 (2x)

22

24 (2x)

17 is below buyers, excluding 17. https://i.imgur.com/ahuF4Mn.png (buyer)

20 may have quicksold a couple times, but it is a clear common trading point, with 2 sales for a key higher also. Keeping 20. https://i.imgur.com/ahuF4Mn.png

Going with 20-24.