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Unusual Slo-Poke Green Black Hole
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Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084447725#!/compare/1532304000/1532649600

Green e. Lucky shot + spec.ks AWPer Hand 95+1.24= 96.5

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Sale 2:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1532736000/1532822400

sold for 1 of 1 Stormy Storm Ritzy Rick's Hair Fixative and 1 of 1 Ghastly Ghosts Jr Helmet Without a Home + 8 keys


Mini for rick: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198405692100#!/compare/1532822400/1533254400

sold with burglerre for sunbeams antartic eyewear, eyewear is at 105, so 105-41(burglerre, mini below)=64 so lets round that at 65


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1531526400/1531612800

sold for strange universal translator+16 keys thats 30+16= 46 lets round at 45

so this gives rick range of 45-65


Mini for Frostbite L'homme Burglerre: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1532736000/1532822400

sold for gastly ghost jr hwh

I couldn't find any other non bulk sale so I'll go with 41, I would be grateful if anyone can provide additional sales.


Mini for Ghastly Ghosts Jr Helmet Without a Home:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1535155200/1535241600

sold for 38

scm sale https://gyazo.com/3d48b9865293d20a75bc71aa43c1819a that's around 43.5 keys rounding at 44

So I guess that's a range of 38-44


So if we take mid value on ranges that's 55+41+8=104

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Sale 3:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210673328#!/compare/1532908800/1532995200

sold for Power Surge Big Country(duped) + Ancient Eldritch Smokey Sombrero + Sunbeams Full Metal Drill Hat + 19 keys


Mini for duped big country:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210673328#!/compare/1529884800/1529971200

sold for 25 pure


https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/968725783510873906/51BB3C889CE66DA84F1CA57C3884C457E60F174D/

https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/968725783510875362/97226BF4C4500E72629C132EA55DC78F0771C30A/

quicksell for 17 keys credit to Pastapowers for the info

I'll take the middle point, so 21 keys


So it's 21+20.5+57.5+19=118 rounding to 120

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Sale 4: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1535414400/1535500800

sold with Scorching Flames Commando Elite and Professional Killstreak Grenade Launcher Kit for Circling Heart Merc's Mohawk + killstreak bread bite + strange festive ubersaw


Mini for mohawk: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073579100#!/compare/1534636800/1534723200

quicksell for 70


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073579100#!/compare/1530403200/1531785600

sold in bulk for Disco Beat Down Antlers

Most hats were duped and had outdated price so I'm not even gonna attempt this


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072386437#!/compare/1525478400/1525564800

sold with Strange Neutron Star Killer Exclusive for Orbiting Planets Antlers


Mini for strange Killer exclusive:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076020691#!/compare/1487116800/1487203200

Sold for Green Energy Batter's Helmet+Voltaic Hat Protector Captain Space Mann+7 keys

so thats 39+ 87.5+7=133,5 round at 135

Now to be fair the sale is old but I'll keep it here for transparency. I asked the parties involved in this trade about their evaluation of killer exclusive value,

and found out that Psycho bought it of scm for what would be 120 in keys, since that was the only recent sale they agreed to value it at 120 keys

So if we go back to the antlers sale that's 250(antlers)-120=130

*I'll provide screenshot of scm sale as soon as can


another sale for mohawk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089039143#!/compare/1468713600/1468800000

sold for Morning Glory Coldsnap Cap+Cool Knife (Well-Worn)


coldsnap cap was at 185 2 years ago when that sale took place

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095320741#!/compare/1473292800/1473465600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087356733#!/compare/1473120000/1473465600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112099979#!/compare/1473465600/1473552000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087356733#!/compare/1473465600/1473552000

mini for the knife at the time https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095978190#!/compare/1470528000/1470614400

sold for 25 keys

so that was 180 cap +25 knife=205


That's more of a legacy trade since it happened so long ago, but there are only 2 existing mohawks and there weren't many sales so I can make exception.

I'll take quicksell as outlier and could use older sales for range 130-205. Though 175 seems kinda more appropriate since Slo-pokes seller and buyer valued mohawk at around 175 keys range. So I'll use 170 since it's the only recent trade and that was both traders consensus. And it lines up nicely between other 2 sales(130 205)

https://ibb.co/ftJeKe

https://ibb.co/mbwDUe


now if we get back to sale that's 177.5+3 keys of items so 180 rounded-46.5(commando)-11(pro ks kit)=122.5


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Sale 5:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114286047#!/compare/1535587200/1535673600

b/o at 150, sold for scorching flames shellmet + It's a mystery to everyone Death Racer's Helmet


shellmet's got an open suggestion https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b7e8a9b44325a15fd0093b1


To summarize shellmet mini:

Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114286047#!/compare/1534032000/1534204800

sold for starstorm insomnia killer exclusive + 50 keys So that's 100+50=150


Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140608606#!/compare/1533254400/1534032000

unusual disciplinary action + strange unusual rocket launcher + shellmet for scorching flames kabuto(duped)

Very messy trade, unu weapons are hard to price and kabuto was duped, I'll talk to piotrex to inquire about this trade. Also the guy that sold shellmet turned his profile private and got vac banned, so I'll rule this one out as an outlier until I manage to clear things up.


Sale 3: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140608606#!/compare/1527811200/1533254400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152708934#!/compare/1529971200/1530057600

Sold for strange scorching flames ground control


Mini for ground control:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031870303#!/compare/1530403200/1530662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152708934#!/compare/1530576000/1530662400

sold for Darkblaze Hive minder, hive minder at 84, So yeah that's 84 for ground control, outlier


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031870303#!/compare/1534896000/1534982400

sold for Misty Skull Lucky Shot +3 keys


and now mini for lucky shot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031870303#!/compare/1534982400/1535328000

sold for Neutron Star Nasty Norsemann + Collector's Professional Killstreak Axtinguisher + Cool Festivized Anodized Aloha Iron Bomber (Field-Tested)

that's 23+5.5+36=64.5 outlier


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090147535#!/compare/1535241600/1535328000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081242634#!/compare/1535155200/1535328000

sold for Scorching Flames Warhood + Scorching Flames Engineer's Cap +15 keys + 1 key in items


mini for engineer's cap

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090147535#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200

Purple Energy Thirst Blood +12 keys

56+12=68


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1534550400/1534636800

quicksell for 54 pure


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140565712#!/compare/1533081600/1533168000

another sale for 58 pure


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131633162#!/compare/1530748800/1530835200

sale for 55 pure


Now looking at the buy orders It's safe to say all those pure sales were quicksells, non pure sale at 68 kinda confirms this. So I'll go with 68


Now going back to the lucky shot mini, that's 68+100(warhood)+16 keys=184, now given that the other sale at 64 is outlier we have 184 for lucky shot

Returning to ground control sale thats 184(lucky shot)+3 keys=187 keys, again 84 was an outlier so it's 187 for strange scorching ground control

Now going back to shellmet sale(sold for scorching ground control) that's 187 for shellmet.


So thats 150, 187 and one weird sale for shellmet, kabuto was duped so valued probably around 180, so 180 - unu weapons, rl was strange, so I guess we can estimate shellmet was valued at around 100 maybe 130, again I'll have to check with piotrex. For now I'll check this one as outlier. Same with 187 sale especially considering piotrex sale and the fact that I had hard time quickselling it. So ?ll go with 150 keys for shellmet


Now finally if we return to slo-poke sale, that's 150 + 44.5(death racers helmet), so that's 194.5 keys rounding at 195, or if we take shellmet's active suggestion into consideration(in case it get's accepted), that's 140+44.5=184.5

Also worth noting this will be last sale for quite a while since I'm planing on keeping it.


So if we check all sales:


96.5 rounding to 95

104 rounding to 105

120

122.5 rounding to 125

184.5 rounding to 185 (b/o was 150) so it capped at 150


The first sale is an outlier, person selling it was not really active trader and was not aware of it's rarity and value, he just followed old suggested bp.tf price

After that it kinda gained on value over time, capping with final sale. B/o was 150 keys . So given the recent trend and rarity I'll suggest range of 120-150

New sales for shellmet mini


Sale 1:


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1536278400/1536364800

Sold with Scorching Flames Commando Elite, Terror-Watt Hound Dog and Strange Festive Ubersaw for Haunted Ghosts Salty Dog, Burning Flames Furious Fukaamigasa and Green Energy Brim-Full Of Bullets


mini for salty dog:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144997989#!/compare/1533859200/1534032000

sold for 42 pure, quicksell

Only usable sale I could find only current seller at 70 keys, quickbuyers at 48keys so old price still seems accurate


mini for Fukaamigasa:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024925599#!/compare/1536969600/1537056000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198383300546#!/compare/1536969600/1537142400

sold for Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher, Disco Beat Down Stainless Pot and The Head Prize

that's 53.5 + 26.5 + 3.65(rounding to 4)= 84 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258378121#!/compare/1535241600/1535328000

sold with Fountain of Delight Taunt: Fresh Brewed Victory and 10 keys for Burning Flames Rebel Rouser


mini for rousers:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049599641#!/compare/1534982400/1535155200 sold entire inventory

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093034439#!/compare/1531440000/1531526400 bulk for Sulphurous Exquisite Rack

just bulk sales recently so yeah, I got nothing. So I'll just orient by scorching which sold in 75-110

range https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ba46cd944325a0bd146c7d4


so that's 92.5-8-10= 74.5 for Fukaamigasa


another sale for Fukaamigasa:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001304064#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200

sold with ~46 in adds for scorching rousers

so taking new price range of rousers thats 92.5-46=46.5 but I'll consider that b/o for rousers was still according to old price so that's 110-46=64

for Fukaamigasa


another one

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079817834#!/compare/1534896000/1534982400

sold for Circling Heart Killer's Kabuto

that's around 40 keys, outlier


another one

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126114757#!/compare/1534291200/1534377600

sold for Steaming Brotherhood of Arms + 29 pure


mini for brotherhood

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274866565#!/compare/1536883200/1537056000

sold for 30 pure


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126114757#!/compare/1535328000/1535414400

sold for Dead Presidents Hong Kong Cone + 2 keys


mini for cone

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1534204800/1534291200

sold for 33 pure


so cone + 2 pure =35 and if we take the pure sale that's 30-35 range, so that's 33+29 pure = 62 for Fukaamigasa


so in total that's 40, 62, 64, 74.5, 84

I'll rule out 40 as outlier so Fukaamigasa has a range of 60-85


and now mini for the Green Energy Brim-Full Of Bullets

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026157327#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200

this is kinda wierd one if we look at the other side of compare

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182213262#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200

but it looks like the guy sold Blizzardy Storm Soldier's Stash and Death at Dusk Grenadier's Softcap and got brim and 40 pure but it seems that

they were separate trades. I'll assume 40 pure was for softcap and brim was for stash so that's 51 for brim


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1533340800/1533427200

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/493520420671193091/493520972729810944/image0.png

sold with 5 keys of sweets for Something Burning This Way Comes Nanobalaclava

so 40.5 keys - 5 = 35.5


https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/493520420671193091/493520729791266817/image0.png

sold for 49 key csgo knife+ 5 keys worth of sweets

that's 54 rounding to 55


so thats range of 35-55


now back to the original shellmet sale that's 70 + 72.5 + 45=187.5

187.5-12.5-46.5-3=125.5 rounding to 125


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Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130058321#!/compare/1535760000/1536192000

sold for Green Confetti Crone's Dome


mini for dome:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130058321#!/compare/1536278400/1536364800

sold with 4 keys worth of sweets for Sulphurous Dr's Dapper Topper

that's 90 - 4 = 86 rounded to 85 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260129065#!/compare/1537488000/1537574400

sold for Circling Heart Neckwear Headwear


mini for Headwear:

sold on marketplace.tf for 122.22$ since keys are 1.84 on marketplace thats around 66 keys and that's the only recent sale outside of

people selling it to scrap.tf bots, buy orders also low highest at 38 next one at 16. Also comparing prices to other effects in the same price

range(green energy at 72, tesla 65, haunted ghost 65) it seems 66 is apropriate. Rounding to 65


So we have 65-85 range for dome.


So that puts this one at 75


also forgot to mention the b/o killer exclusive + pure sale was 125, so I'm correcting that now


Now looking at all sales that's

75, 125, 125, 187

the 75 and 187 look like low and high outliers so I'll correct my old estimate and go with 125 for shellmet. Doesn't really changes anything in slo-poke sale though.