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Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084447725#!/compare/1532304000/1532649600
Green e. Lucky shot + spec.ks AWPer Hand 95+1.24= 96.5
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Sale 2:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1532736000/1532822400
sold for 1 of 1 Stormy Storm Ritzy Rick's Hair Fixative and 1 of 1 Ghastly Ghosts Jr Helmet Without a Home + 8 keys
Mini for rick: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198405692100#!/compare/1532822400/1533254400
sold with burglerre for sunbeams antartic eyewear, eyewear is at 105, so 105-41(burglerre, mini below)=64 so lets round that at 65
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1531526400/1531612800
sold for strange universal translator+16 keys thats 30+16= 46 lets round at 45
so this gives rick range of 45-65
Mini for Frostbite L'homme Burglerre: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1532736000/1532822400
sold for gastly ghost jr hwh
I couldn't find any other non bulk sale so I'll go with 41, I would be grateful if anyone can provide additional sales.
Mini for Ghastly Ghosts Jr Helmet Without a Home:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1535155200/1535241600
sold for 38
scm sale https://gyazo.com/3d48b9865293d20a75bc71aa43c1819a that's around 43.5 keys rounding at 44
So I guess that's a range of 38-44
So if we take mid value on ranges that's 55+41+8=104
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Sale 3:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210673328#!/compare/1532908800/1532995200
sold for Power Surge Big Country(duped) + Ancient Eldritch Smokey Sombrero + Sunbeams Full Metal Drill Hat + 19 keys
Mini for duped big country:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210673328#!/compare/1529884800/1529971200
sold for 25 pure
https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/968725783510873906/51BB3C889CE66DA84F1CA57C3884C457E60F174D/
https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/968725783510875362/97226BF4C4500E72629C132EA55DC78F0771C30A/
quicksell for 17 keys credit to Pastapowers for the info
I'll take the middle point, so 21 keys
So it's 21+20.5+57.5+19=118 rounding to 120
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Sale 4: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1535414400/1535500800
sold with Scorching Flames Commando Elite and Professional Killstreak Grenade Launcher Kit for Circling Heart Merc's Mohawk + killstreak bread bite + strange festive ubersaw
Mini for mohawk: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073579100#!/compare/1534636800/1534723200
quicksell for 70
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073579100#!/compare/1530403200/1531785600
sold in bulk for Disco Beat Down Antlers
Most hats were duped and had outdated price so I'm not even gonna attempt this
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072386437#!/compare/1525478400/1525564800
sold with Strange Neutron Star Killer Exclusive for Orbiting Planets Antlers
Mini for strange Killer exclusive:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076020691#!/compare/1487116800/1487203200
Sold for Green Energy Batter's Helmet+Voltaic Hat Protector Captain Space Mann+7 keys
so thats 39+ 87.5+7=133,5 round at 135
Now to be fair the sale is old but I'll keep it here for transparency. I asked the parties involved in this trade about their evaluation of killer exclusive value,
and found out that Psycho bought it of scm for what would be 120 in keys, since that was the only recent sale they agreed to value it at 120 keys
So if we go back to the antlers sale that's 250(antlers)-120=130
*I'll provide screenshot of scm sale as soon as can
another sale for mohawk:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089039143#!/compare/1468713600/1468800000
sold for Morning Glory Coldsnap Cap+Cool Knife (Well-Worn)
coldsnap cap was at 185 2 years ago when that sale took place
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095320741#!/compare/1473292800/1473465600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087356733#!/compare/1473120000/1473465600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112099979#!/compare/1473465600/1473552000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087356733#!/compare/1473465600/1473552000
mini for the knife at the time https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095978190#!/compare/1470528000/1470614400
sold for 25 keys
so that was 180 cap +25 knife=205
That's more of a legacy trade since it happened so long ago, but there are only 2 existing mohawks and there weren't many sales so I can make exception.
I'll take quicksell as outlier and could use older sales for range 130-205. Though 175 seems kinda more appropriate since Slo-pokes seller and buyer valued mohawk at around 175 keys range. So I'll use 170 since it's the only recent trade and that was both traders consensus. And it lines up nicely between other 2 sales(130 205)
https://ibb.co/ftJeKe
https://ibb.co/mbwDUe
now if we get back to sale that's 177.5+3 keys of items so 180 rounded-46.5(commando)-11(pro ks kit)=122.5
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Sale 5:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114286047#!/compare/1535587200/1535673600
b/o at 150, sold for scorching flames shellmet + It's a mystery to everyone Death Racer's Helmet
shellmet's got an open suggestion https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b7e8a9b44325a15fd0093b1
To summarize shellmet mini:
Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114286047#!/compare/1534032000/1534204800
sold for starstorm insomnia killer exclusive + 50 keys So that's 100+50=150
Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140608606#!/compare/1533254400/1534032000
unusual disciplinary action + strange unusual rocket launcher + shellmet for scorching flames kabuto(duped)
Very messy trade, unu weapons are hard to price and kabuto was duped, I'll talk to piotrex to inquire about this trade. Also the guy that sold shellmet turned his profile private and got vac banned, so I'll rule this one out as an outlier until I manage to clear things up.
Sale 3: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140608606#!/compare/1527811200/1533254400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152708934#!/compare/1529971200/1530057600
Sold for strange scorching flames ground control
Mini for ground control:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031870303#!/compare/1530403200/1530662400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152708934#!/compare/1530576000/1530662400
sold for Darkblaze Hive minder, hive minder at 84, So yeah that's 84 for ground control, outlier
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031870303#!/compare/1534896000/1534982400
sold for Misty Skull Lucky Shot +3 keys
and now mini for lucky shot
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031870303#!/compare/1534982400/1535328000
sold for Neutron Star Nasty Norsemann + Collector's Professional Killstreak Axtinguisher + Cool Festivized Anodized Aloha Iron Bomber (Field-Tested)
that's 23+5.5+36=64.5 outlier
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090147535#!/compare/1535241600/1535328000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081242634#!/compare/1535155200/1535328000
sold for Scorching Flames Warhood + Scorching Flames Engineer's Cap +15 keys + 1 key in items
mini for engineer's cap
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090147535#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200
Purple Energy Thirst Blood +12 keys
56+12=68
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1534550400/1534636800
quicksell for 54 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140565712#!/compare/1533081600/1533168000
another sale for 58 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131633162#!/compare/1530748800/1530835200
sale for 55 pure
Now looking at the buy orders It's safe to say all those pure sales were quicksells, non pure sale at 68 kinda confirms this. So I'll go with 68
Now going back to the lucky shot mini, that's 68+100(warhood)+16 keys=184, now given that the other sale at 64 is outlier we have 184 for lucky shot
Returning to ground control sale thats 184(lucky shot)+3 keys=187 keys, again 84 was an outlier so it's 187 for strange scorching ground control
Now going back to shellmet sale(sold for scorching ground control) that's 187 for shellmet.
So thats 150, 187 and one weird sale for shellmet, kabuto was duped so valued probably around 180, so 180 - unu weapons, rl was strange, so I guess we can estimate shellmet was valued at around 100 maybe 130, again I'll have to check with piotrex. For now I'll check this one as outlier. Same with 187 sale especially considering piotrex sale and the fact that I had hard time quickselling it. So ?ll go with 150 keys for shellmet
Now finally if we return to slo-poke sale, that's 150 + 44.5(death racers helmet), so that's 194.5 keys rounding at 195, or if we take shellmet's active suggestion into consideration(in case it get's accepted), that's 140+44.5=184.5
Also worth noting this will be last sale for quite a while since I'm planing on keeping it.
So if we check all sales:
96.5 rounding to 95
104 rounding to 105
120
122.5 rounding to 125
184.5 rounding to 185 (b/o was 150) so it capped at 150
The first sale is an outlier, person selling it was not really active trader and was not aware of it's rarity and value, he just followed old suggested bp.tf price
After that it kinda gained on value over time, capping with final sale. B/o was 150 keys . So given the recent trend and rarity I'll suggest range of 120-150
Mini for Frostbite L'homme Burglerre: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1532736000/1532822400
sold for gastly ghost jr hwh
I couldn't find any other non bulk sale so I'll go with 41, I would be grateful if anyone can provide additional sales.
did u fail to see the adds?
Oh shit my bad, I don't know how I managed to miss that,
So that's 41(hwh)+11 keys in adds= 52 keys
and I also noticed one recent sale on marketplace.tf https://marketplace.tf/shopitem/trainwithwayne/30182;5;u87/Frostbite%20L
sold for 95$ given the price of keys on marketplace, that would be 50 keys
So I'll take 51.
Now going back to antartic sale that's not 105-51=54
range for rick 45-54
so the slo-poke sale was 49+41+8=98 rounding at 100
New sales for shellmet mini
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1536278400/1536364800
Sold with Scorching Flames Commando Elite, Terror-Watt Hound Dog and Strange Festive Ubersaw for Haunted Ghosts Salty Dog, Burning Flames Furious Fukaamigasa and Green Energy Brim-Full Of Bullets
mini for salty dog:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144997989#!/compare/1533859200/1534032000
sold for 42 pure, quicksell
Only usable sale I could find only current seller at 70 keys, quickbuyers at 48keys so old price still seems accurate
mini for Fukaamigasa:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024925599#!/compare/1536969600/1537056000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198383300546#!/compare/1536969600/1537142400
sold for Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher, Disco Beat Down Stainless Pot and The Head Prize
that's 53.5 + 26.5 + 3.65(rounding to 4)= 84 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258378121#!/compare/1535241600/1535328000
sold with Fountain of Delight Taunt: Fresh Brewed Victory and 10 keys for Burning Flames Rebel Rouser
mini for rousers:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049599641#!/compare/1534982400/1535155200 sold entire inventory
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093034439#!/compare/1531440000/1531526400 bulk for Sulphurous Exquisite Rack
just bulk sales recently so yeah, I got nothing. So I'll just orient by scorching which sold in 75-110
range https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ba46cd944325a0bd146c7d4
so that's 92.5-8-10= 74.5 for Fukaamigasa
another sale for Fukaamigasa:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001304064#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200
sold with ~46 in adds for scorching rousers
so taking new price range of rousers thats 92.5-46=46.5 but I'll consider that b/o for rousers was still according to old price so that's 110-46=64
for Fukaamigasa
another one
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079817834#!/compare/1534896000/1534982400
sold for Circling Heart Killer's Kabuto
that's around 40 keys, outlier
another one
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126114757#!/compare/1534291200/1534377600
sold for Steaming Brotherhood of Arms + 29 pure
mini for brotherhood
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274866565#!/compare/1536883200/1537056000
sold for 30 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126114757#!/compare/1535328000/1535414400
sold for Dead Presidents Hong Kong Cone + 2 keys
mini for cone
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1534204800/1534291200
sold for 33 pure
so cone + 2 pure =35 and if we take the pure sale that's 30-35 range, so that's 33+29 pure = 62 for Fukaamigasa
so in total that's 40, 62, 64, 74.5, 84
I'll rule out 40 as outlier so Fukaamigasa has a range of 60-85
and now mini for the Green Energy Brim-Full Of Bullets
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026157327#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200
this is kinda wierd one if we look at the other side of compare
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182213262#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200
but it looks like the guy sold Blizzardy Storm Soldier's Stash and Death at Dusk Grenadier's Softcap and got brim and 40 pure but it seems that
they were separate trades. I'll assume 40 pure was for softcap and brim was for stash so that's 51 for brim
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1533340800/1533427200
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/493520420671193091/493520972729810944/image0.png
sold with 5 keys of sweets for Something Burning This Way Comes Nanobalaclava
so 40.5 keys - 5 = 35.5
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/493520420671193091/493520729791266817/image0.png
sold for 49 key csgo knife+ 5 keys worth of sweets
that's 54 rounding to 55
so thats range of 35-55
now back to the original shellmet sale that's 70 + 72.5 + 45=187.5
187.5-12.5-46.5-3=125.5 rounding to 125
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Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130058321#!/compare/1535760000/1536192000
sold for Green Confetti Crone's Dome
mini for dome:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130058321#!/compare/1536278400/1536364800
sold with 4 keys worth of sweets for Sulphurous Dr's Dapper Topper
that's 90 - 4 = 86 rounded to 85 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260129065#!/compare/1537488000/1537574400
sold for Circling Heart Neckwear Headwear
mini for Headwear:
sold on marketplace.tf for 122.22$ since keys are 1.84 on marketplace thats around 66 keys and that's the only recent sale outside of
people selling it to scrap.tf bots, buy orders also low highest at 38 next one at 16. Also comparing prices to other effects in the same price
range(green energy at 72, tesla 65, haunted ghost 65) it seems 66 is apropriate. Rounding to 65
So we have 65-85 range for dome.
So that puts this one at 75
also forgot to mention the b/o killer exclusive + pure sale was 125, so I'm correcting that now
Now looking at all sales that's
75, 125, 125, 187
the 75 and 187 look like low and high outliers so I'll correct my old estimate and go with 125 for shellmet. Doesn't really changes anything in slo-poke sale though.