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Choo Choo. Car 48.
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084306266#!/compare/1531872000/1531958400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1531872000/1531958400
Sold for PE Thirst Blood + 2 keys
Thirst Mini:
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b9d53d6cf6c75297d4e1df0
Suggestion for 51 keys.
Total is 53 keys.
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282372085#!/compare/1531872000/1531958400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046888783#!/compare/1531094400/1531958400
Sold for 40 keys.
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046888783#!/compare/1532131200/1532217600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200
QS?
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1534636800/1534723200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104974113#!/compare/1534636800/1534982400
Sold for 37 keys
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104974113#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200
Sold for KaW Woodsman
Woodsman Mini:
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b9d4b6944325a4f8a5e354e
Suggestion for 37.5 keys
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1535155200/1535241600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011986779#!/compare/1534464000/1535241600
Sold with ~5 keys in sweets for DBD Deep Cover
use there.
Sale 7:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174203179#!/compare/1536451200/1536624000
Sold for 32 keys (other 2 are traceable, leaving 32 as the only option)
Total sales @:
32, 37, 37.5, 40, 53 keys.
https://i.imgur.com/pfVilTD.jpg
Sellers down to 40,
Buyers up to 30.
Considering 32 still took ~2 months to sell,
Calling 53 the outlier
Taking 32 - 40 keys.
If 53 is an outlier then so is 32
Buyer at 30 https://i.imgur.com/yut1rBH.jpg
53 is an outlier because there are multiple sellers for below that price. I kept 32 in because it took such a long time to sell it, and it looks like the buyer for 30 has successfully bought a hat, supporting keeping 32 in, i would believe.
couple more sales in these histories might wanna look into em
https://backpack.tf/item/6815553518
https://backpack.tf/item/6765559984
Sale 8:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069559160#!/compare/1536969600/1537056000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1536969600/1537056000
Sold for 30 keys + 6 ref
Sale 9:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1538179200/1538352000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066483561#!/compare/1538265600/1538352000
Sold for Blizzardy Pithy(24.5) + 16 keys
Total is 40.5 keys
Sale 10:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1536969600/1537056000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130744764#!/compare/1537056000/1537142400
Untrace
Sale 11:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130744764#!/compare/1537056000/1537142400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066195760#!/compare/1536883200/1537142400
Sold for 30 keys
Sale 12:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066195760#!/compare/1537142400/1537228800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964811507#!/compare/1537142400/1537228800
Sold for Duped Beams Handle + Miami Guadjalara
Beams Mini:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053717045#!/compare/1536883200/1536969600
Sold for Steaming Riflemen(23.5) + Miami Complex
With just QB prices, this would end up out of current range(higher, at ~47)
So 2 sales at QB, one higher than current range, one in range.
What's the verdict?
ok so
sale 8 went to quickbuyer for their price so thats dead.
Sale 9 falls right at the high end basically.
Sale 11 took a day went to another quickbuyer.
Sale 12 looks pretty high lookin at the seller for 44 for almost 3 weeks so im ok with calling it an outlier.
This leads us basically back to where we started of is 32 low or not. See we dont know how long it coulda been listed for since the cache doesnt show anything and outpost is dead so we got proof of how long he was selling just knowing how long he had it. I mean that hasnt stopped us from accepting stuff like this situation before.
But, there are now 4 sales in the 37.5-40.5 area.Then we got 3 others, one at 32 which "could" be seen as low, 1 super high sale at 53, and 1 probably high sale at what might be around 47.
Here I would be fine with calling 32 low and cutting it off since there are quickbuys at it, and the fact one of the quickbuyers sold it for very clearly much higher 1 day later.
This one - https://backpack.tf/item/6815553518
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066195760#!/compare/1537142400/1537228800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130744764#!/compare/1537056000/1537142400
After that 53 is too high looking at sellers, and 47 since it doesnt have actual minis to begin with and is prolly higher also so it can get cut off.
Here it would be best to re-suggest this at 37-41. This might effect one of your other suggs im pretty sure so just check around and see which one near this one when you suggested this
Resuggesting.