Sale 1:

Sold for 35 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1530057600/1530144000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091786731#!/compare/1530057600/1530144000

https://backpack.tf/item/2870650599

X = 35

Sale 2:

Sold for 35 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306288794#!/compare/1531094400/1531180800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139190812#!/compare/1531094400/1531180800

https://backpack.tf/item/2870650599

X = 35

Sale 3:

Looks like 29 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091786731#!/compare/1530576000/1530662400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306288794#!/compare/1530489600/1530576000

The RL sold for 30 keys. If we look at the seller’s end, they appear to have traded away a key and around a key in ref. The ref went towards the schadenfreude, and the key would’ve been the only key that didn’t come from the Ceremonial.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346664888#!/compare/1530576000/1530662400 - RL sale at 30

If this is incorrect, then perhaps the buyer here can confirm.

X = 29

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/3573336515 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/2870650599 (#2 & #3)

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082417334#!/compare/1532476800/1536537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1532736000/1532822400

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139190812#!/compare/1531353600/1531440000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317606171#!/compare/1531353600/1531440000

https://i.imgur.com/jb2cDGX.png - Labelled as 29 keys

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301015840#!/compare/1534118400/1534204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306288794#!/compare/1534118400/1534204800

Buyer’s end doesn’t help, not many of the keys match.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/4lhFbb0.png

https://backpack.tf/item/3573336515 - 29 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2870650599 - 30 keys

Sales at:

29

35 (2x)

Both users that bought for 35 re-sold for significantly less shortly afterwards. That, and the fact that the sellers at 29 and 30 are both over a month unsold suggests that 35 is too high. Excluding 35.

Going with 29 flat.