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All credits to TF2Scourge!
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1533945600/1534032000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198351184262#!/compare/1533945600/1534032000
Sold with ~1 key in ref for 12 keys
Total is 11 keys.
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1534982400/1535068800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067853901#!/compare/1534982400/1535068800
Instabought from Scrap, gonna say its not usable.
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067853901#!/compare/1535500800/1535587200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254285639#!/compare/1535500800/1535587200
Sold for 11 keys (History Match)
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155929872#!/compare/1536364800/1537056000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319268301#!/compare/1530230400/1536796800
Untrace.
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198369186704#!/compare/1533254400/1533340800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054448372#!/compare/1533168000/1533254400
Untrace.
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1533513600/1533600000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090436184#!/compare/1532736000/1533600000
Untrace.
Sale 7:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090436184#!/compare/1533945600/1534032000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1533945600/1534032000
Bulk
Sale 8:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253195935#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200
Sold for 7 keys + FoD Party Trick(6.5)
Total is 13.5 keys
Sale 9:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253195935#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011233751#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200
Bulk.
Sale 10:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011233751#!/compare/1535155200/1535241600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198298677489#!/compare/1535155200/1535241600
Sold for TW Mmph
Sale according to B/O doesn't match up, however easy cap at 14.
https://i.imgur.com/zA0gt3p.jpg
Sale 11:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198298677489#!/compare/1535155200/1535241600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065179630#!/compare/1535155200/1535241600
Untrace.
Sale 12:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1535328000/1535414400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198351410052#!/compare/1535328000/1535414400
Untrace.
Sale 13:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198351410052#!/compare/1535587200/1535673600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1535587200/1535673600
Low.
Sale 14:
https://marketplace.tf/items/51;5;u6
Sold for 26 USD
Keys at 1.89 USD
Total is 13.76 keys
Total sales @:
11, 11, 13.5, 13.76 keys
https://i.imgur.com/c3KEmSG.jpg
Seller for 13 keys
Going with 11 - 14 keys, seller is relatively young.
-Eh, I really don't think sale 10 would easily cap, I think the hat is super overpriced. Just look at it's Kwatt counterpart.
-Sale 11 is not untrace, the DP chullo was involved. You can see the blizz elf in this compare link go to the dude who owned the chullo: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065179630#!/compare/1535155200/1535241600
All things considered we have pure sales to back up this range so I can't harp on these mistakes too much but if that wasn't the case the mmph would defo need a mini. Maybe use this hat to update it?