Suggestion: Time Warp Killer Exclusive at 400 keys

Price Suggestion

~2500 keys

45 votes up

9 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Thu, 25 Oct 18 22:36:34 +0000 by Randy.

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TW KE

Just one sale > https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015547078#!/compare/1531872000/1531958400

Sold for Duped CM TC and 45 pure

CM TC mini > https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081384929#!/compare/1535673600/1535760000

Sold for Ghost Executioner and Phantasm Conga and ~200 sweets

Executioner mini > https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188186169#!/compare/1535932800/1536105600

Sold for Time Warp Old Guadalajara + Strange Circling TF Logo Anger + Circling Heart Bolted Bicorne

Guadalajara mini > https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060702413#!/compare/1533686400/1536969600

Sold for Scorching Rubber > mini > https://marketplace.tf/items/102;5;u14 > ~50 keys but sellers are ~45 so 45 flat

Anger mini > https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198292091925#!/compare/1533168000/1533254400

Sold for 30 keys pure

Heart Bolted mini > https://marketplace.tf/items/30034;5;u19

Sold for 39.99$ > ~20 keys

So this is first sale > ~95+~60+~200+ 45 pure >>> ~400

Cheers

That mini on the TC is probably not good enough? Several other sales this month that unfortunately all would need minis too:

Another duped cloudy moon TC sale:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059265081#!/compare/1536278400/1536364800

Bubbling Snowmann (~127.5, out of date) + Scorching Pomade Prince (326.5, 4 weeks)

The Snowmann is out of date but that would be a bit over 450. The only other sale on the Snowmann is massively bulky: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198368868701#!/compare/1536364800/1536451200

No other sales, rough estimate would be existing value if it hasn't been listed at a lower buyout. Unlikely to be way lower.

= Ballpark of 454

Yet another duped cloudy moon TC sale:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081384929#!/compare/1535760000/1535932800

118 keys + C. Heart Cold Killer (~140, 2 years old) + Poisoned Shadows Human Cannonball (180, 5 months old) + Bubbling Rotation Sensation (~29, 9 months old).

= Ballpark of 467

And another:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059265081#!/compare/1536192000/1536278400

GBH Exquisite Rack (~400, semi in-date but submitted 5 months ago) - 10 keys

They added 10 keysto get a GBH Rack, this one would be closer to the 400 you're using.

There are several sales on the rack since its last suggestion, and all are a pain using compare. They might be straightforward if untangled, or if MonsterPandaz can say what they traded for. My best guess is still somewhere around 400.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198264117106#!/compare/1531872000/1531958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072725528#!/compare/1531872000/1531958400

(bulky) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072725528#!/compare/1531353600/1531440000

(mystery) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198368868701#!/compare/1531353600/1531440000

(cash out) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1530144000/1530230400

So long story short, the two other TC trades are a pain but probably traceable, except the Snowmann. You might be able to get away with a mini using the old price on that one, since it has a very limited trade history, isn't super old, and makes up under 1/3 of the trade?

Looks to me like the duped Cloudy Moon TC is closer to a range of 390/400 to 450/460 based on sales just in the last month, depending on how the outdated hats in the second one I listed held up. That would be a much smaller drop for the KE.

I know Snowmann sale but no mini on Snowmann that's why not used also Rack sale ~400 too

ok so going over the other TC minis that were given.

First sale. - With the Bubbling Snowman having no minis and while its not the largest part of the sale its only acutal mini is bulk. I dont want to see that sale used as a mini for the TC, it can count as support.

Sale 2 - the C.Heart Cold Killer is for sure high at 140 for 2 years. It would prolly be much lower if it had a valid mini, same with the PS Human Cannonball and Bubbling Sensation, So overall again id call support. Chances are with proper minis it would def low by a good chunk.

Sale 3 -Rack sale is basically 400.

Rack's only other valid barely indate sale is for 315 keys here which seems somwhat low - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198264117106#!/compare/1531958400/1532044800

the rest are just meh or bulk so w/e on those.

So as it stands now im ok with taking 355 on the TC since it seems most other sales either fall a bit above or a bit below. Accepting as is.