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Sick range.
Using last 2 months due to lack of sales.
Sales 1 & 2:
Sold for $32.50 and $33.32 on marketplace.tf
https://marketplace.tf/items/1111;5;u3001
http://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2018-09-04 - $32.50 / $1.88 = 17.29 keys
http://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2018-07-31 - $33.32 / $1.96 = 17.00 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/5186628068 - No B/O
Couldn't find other item history.
X = 17 (2x)
Sale 3:
Sold for 11 keys
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198839307425#!/compare/1534032000/1534118400
Buyer?: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307006895#!/compare/1533686400/1534118400
https://backpack.tf/item/7036185508
https://i.imgur.com/GDFkuPq.png
Looks like either the buyer sold their burning pirate bandana for keys and bought both taunts that appear there, or the user that bought the burning pirate bandana is the buyer here, but didn't have their backpack scanned with the item after buying (more likely the case here). Either way, I'm confident that 11 keys is correct here.
X = 11
Other Sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/7108227710 - tradeit
https://backpack.tf/item/5810340622 - tf2mart
https://backpack.tf/item/5753867820 - scammer stuff
https://backpack.tf/item/5113019137 - swap bots
https://backpack.tf/item/6256635738 - tf2mart
Sellers:
https://i.imgur.com/Qm20a5F.png
https://backpack.tf/item/6375072233 - 20 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/5277741952 - 30 keys
And another seller for $28.68 on the SCM:
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Skullcracker?filter=showstopper
https://i.imgur.com/qdgfSVd.png - ~11.5 keys
Sales at:
11
17 (2x)
Keeping 11 due to the SCM seller.
Going with 11-17.