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~175 keys
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Unusual Shellmet Scorching Flames
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Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114286047#!/compare/1534032000/1534204800

sold for starstorm insomnia killer exclusive + 50 keys b/o was 125 so that's 125

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Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140608606#!/compare/1533254400/1534032000

unusual disciplinary action + strange unusual rocket launcher + shellmet for scorching flames kabuto(duped)


Very messy trade, unu weapons are hard to price and kabuto was duped, I'll talk to piotrex to inquire about this trade. Also the guy that sold shellmet turned his profile private and got vac banned, so I'll rule this one out as an outlier.


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Sale 3: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140608606#!/compare/1527811200/1533254400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152708934#!/compare/1529971200/1530057600

Sold for strange scorching flames ground control


Mini for ground control:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031870303#!/compare/1530403200/1530662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152708934#!/compare/1530576000/1530662400

Sold for Darkblaze Hive minder, hive minder at 84, So yeah that's 84 for ground control, outlier


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031870303#!/compare/1534896000/1534982400

sold for Misty Skull Lucky Shot +3 keys


and now mini for lucky shot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031870303#!/compare/1534982400/1535328000

sold for Neutron Star Nasty Norsemann + Collector's Professional Killstreak Axtinguisher + Cool Festivized Anodized Aloha Iron Bomber (Field-Tested)

that's 23+5.5+36=64.5 outlier


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090147535#!/compare/1535241600/1535328000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081242634#!/compare/1535155200/1535328000

sold for Scorching Flames Warhood + Scorching Flames Engineer's Cap +15 keys + 1 key in items


mini for engineer's cap

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090147535#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200

Purple Energy Thirst Blood +12 keys

56+12=68


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1534550400/1534636800

quicksell for 54 pure


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140565712#!/compare/1533081600/1533168000

another sale for 58 pure


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131633162#!/compare/1530748800/1530835200

sale for 55 pure


Now looking at the buy orders It's safe to say all those pure sales were quicksells, non pure sale at 68 kinda confirms this. So I'll go with 68

Now going back to the lucky shot mini, that's 68+100(warhood)+16 keys=184, now given that the other sale at 64 is outlier we have 184 for lucky shot

Returning to ground control sale thats 184(lucky shot)+3 keys=187 keys, again 84 was an outlier so it's 187 for strange scorching ground control

Now going back to shellmet sale(sold for scorching ground control) that's 187 for shellmet.


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Sale 4:


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1536278400/1536364800

Sold with Scorching Flames Commando Elite, Terror-Watt Hound Dog and Strange Festive Ubersaw for Haunted Ghosts Salty Dog, Burning Flames Furious Fukaamigasa and Green Energy Brim-Full Of Bullets


mini for salty dog:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144997989#!/compare/1533859200/1534032000

sold for 42 pure, quicksell

Only usable sale I could find only current seller at 70 keys, quickbuyers at 48keys so old price still seems accurate


mini for Fukaamigasa:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024925599#!/compare/1536969600/1537056000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198383300546#!/compare/1536969600/1537142400

sold for Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher, Disco Beat Down Stainless Pot and The Head Prize

that's 53.5 + 26.5 + 3.65(rounding to 4)= 84 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258378121#!/compare/1535241600/1535328000

sold with Fountain of Delight Taunt: Fresh Brewed Victory and 10 keys for Burning Flames Rebel Rouser


mini for rousers:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049599641#!/compare/1534982400/1535155200 sold entire inventory

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093034439#!/compare/1531440000/1531526400 bulk for Sulphurous Exquisite Rack

just bulk sales recently so yeah, I got nothing. So I'll just orient by scorching which sold in 75-110


range https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ba46cd944325a0bd146c7d4

so that's 92.5-8-10= 74.5 for Fukaamigasa


another sale for Fukaamigasa:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001304064#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200

sold with ~46 in adds for scorching rousers

so taking new price range of rousers thats 92.5-46=46.5 but I'll consider that b/o for rousers was still according to old price so that's 110-46=64

for Fukaamigasa


another one

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079817834#!/compare/1534896000/1534982400

sold for Circling Heart Killer's Kabuto

that's around 40 keys, outlier


another one

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126114757#!/compare/1534291200/1534377600

sold for Steaming Brotherhood of Arms + 29 pure


mini for brotherhood

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274866565#!/compare/1536883200/1537056000

sold for 30 pure


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126114757#!/compare/1535328000/1535414400

sold for Dead Presidents Hong Kong Cone + 2 keys


mini for cone

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1534204800/1534291200


sold for 33 pure


so cone + 2 pure =35 and if we take the pure sale that's 30-35 range, so that's 33+29 pure = 62 for Fukaamigasa


so in total that's 40, 62, 64, 74.5, 84

I'll rule out 40 as outlier so Fukaamigasa has a range of 60-85


and now mini for the Green Energy Brim-Full Of Bullets

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026157327#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200

this is kinda wierd one if we look at the other side of compare

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182213262#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200

but it looks like the guy sold Blizzardy Storm Soldier's Stash and Death at Dusk Grenadier's Softcap and got brim and 40 pure but it seems that

they were separate trades. I'll assume 40 pure was for softcap and brim was for stash so that's 51 for brim


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1533340800/1533427200

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/493520420671193091/493520972729810944/image0.png

sold with 5 keys of sweets for Something Burning This Way Comes Nanobalaclava

so 40.5 keys - 5 = 35.5


https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/493520420671193091/493520729791266817/image0.png

sold for 49 key csgo knife+ 5 keys worth of sweets

that's 54 rounding to 55


so thats range of 35-55

now back to the original shellmet sale that's 70 + 72.5 + 45=187.5

187.5-12.5-46.5-3=125.5 rounding to 125


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Sale 5:


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130058321#!/compare/1535760000/1536192000

sold for Green Confetti Crone's Dome


mini for dome:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130058321#!/compare/1536278400/1536364800

sold with 4 keys worth of sweets for Sulphurous Dr's Dapper Topper

that's 90 - 4 = 86 rounded to 85 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260129065#!/compare/1537488000/1537574400

sold for Circling Heart Neckwear Headwear


mini for Headwear:

sold on marketplace.tf for 122.22$ since keys are 1.84 on marketplace thats around 66 keys and that's the only recent sale outside of

people selling it to scrap.tf bots, buy orders also low highest at 38 next one at 16. Also comparing prices to other effects in the same price

range(green energy at 72, tesla 65, haunted ghost 65) it seems 66 is apropriate. Rounding to 65


So we have 65-85 range for dome.


So that puts this one at 75


If we look at all sales that's 75, 125, 125, 187

75 and 187 look like low and high outliers so I'll go with 125