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Sale 1: Gift / transfer
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054833725#!/compare/1531440000/1531526400 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198300601676#!/compare/1531440000/1531526400
Sale 2: Gfetti Ten Gallon (indate @ 22 )
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198300601676#!/compare/1531526400/1531612800 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058186937#!/compare/1531440000/1531872000
(strange) Sale 3: Twatt Watch + Max’s | Use to price strange, exclude here.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271444161#!/compare/1535241600/1535328000
Only sale @ 22, taking 22 flat.
Well, according to near-IDs a key was added with the Ten Gallon in sale 2, but histories don't match and doesn't seem like the Trucker buyer sold something to obtain that key.
Also worth noting that this sale wasn't really used to update the Gallon (there was another sale at 23)
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5b730c12cf6c750184295bdc
So this should be ok.