A good start and a better effort than most of the others that attempt quick maffs ("keys are <x> from the store so they should be <y> refined" type suggestions). ScrapTF's supplies have been so dry lately with all the rises that I gave up on hitting refresh every now and again for flipping opportunities. STN's buy price is within line, but their sell price (and consequently their margin) is definitely out there, at least right now, but I guess that's just to keep some amount of keys available.
Overall I'd wait and see for a day or two before voting either way, but there's definitely hints of a plateau forming around or in your range. Some of those 38 refined listings are quicksells, those should be discarded from the picture.
The suggested price fits the market rather well.
The price no longer fits as well as it did, when I made the comment. A new, more up to date suggestion, might be a good idea.
Would you suggest I close this and reprice at 39.44-39.55 (or somewhere similar), or just let it run its course?
The goddamn trade bots keep constantly increasing the price, remember when some of them were banned the price of the key fell down by 10 ref? Unless either Valve or this site actually tries to intervene, we'll hit 50 ref per key in the next year.
why would valve intervene? lol these prices are a third party community made economy
it is not the trade bot. its cuz the idle bot farming. No one can change the market unless Valve remove all the farming bot again.
Or just fix the drop system, that would make more sense in my opinion.
Looks like market has shifted to 39.44-39.55.
This was to a buy-order around 12 hours ago and prices have remained steady https://prnt.sc/l2angp
OK I do not get this at all why do keys go up every week wtf is this economy keys are always sold for the same price on the market weapons are always valued the same keys are on no shortage they are infinite I remember when I was playing like 3 years ago they costed 13 ref what makes them worth so much more now ref is the same it is not like people are making it more if anything less now from the no ideing and they cost the same why it is like if the US dollar went up in value every fucking week it makes no sense an item with unlimited supply and the same demand has gone up soo much for no reason.
There's a much higher number of refined metal, a much higher number of keys, and overall a much higher number of everything that isn't retired. That's why refined metal is worth so much less than it was 3 or 4 years ago.
"it is like if the US dollar went up in value every fucking week" this is literally what happens to real currency. It's called inflation. It just happens much faster in the TF2 economy than in most real ones. Metal has been building up for years, much faster than it's being used up in crafting. The more metal there is being traded around, the less any individual piece of ref is worth. It's basic economics.
2x autobuying bots for 39.66 now and nearly two pages of buyers for 39.55
why not make them ∞ ref
This is gonna be interesting to see what the result is.
#makeakey5ref
2 full pages and a bit of buyers for 39.66 now.
Great suggestion I must say. I don't know why people keep blaming bots lol
Come on. Someone accept this already.
This one should probably be closed now. Too late to accept and not have it outdated at this point, bots have already gone 39.88 - 40.00
I really miss the old days when you could actually swim with keys
I have no idea how best to price keys, but the market seems to have shifted. If you have any criticisms or further proof please comment!
It appears impossible to get a key for less than 39.33.
TLDR/Album
https://imgur.com/a/aXgpcrV (this does not contain all proof)
Buys
2 Classified Buyers (1 bot) @ 39.44: https://imgur.com/TtoLC56
2 Classified Buyers (2 bots) @ 39.33: https://imgur.com/TtoLC56
Stn is buying @ 39.11: https://imgur.com/uptV6bR
Sales
At least 12 sales (past two days) @ 39.33: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198423980835#!/compare/1538092800/1538265600
Seller @ 39.44: https://imgur.com/j5HxPQ1
Bot selling @ 39.56: https://imgur.com/5OQAB5j
Stn is selling at 39.77, and has 247 keys in stock: https://imgur.com/uptV6bR
Other
Human @ 38/40: https://imgur.com/0xwTi0c
Outpost has many buyers @ 40: https://imgur.com/LXd1ylz https://imgur.com/Wj8uqkw
Notes
Scrap.tf is pricing at 38.77/38.88, and appears to almost never have any stock.
We cant stop it is based on sales
this is sadly out-dated now. I've been buyin and sellin 39.55-39.66 for days
there's like over 2 1/2 pages of buyers at or above 39.55
Best to close this. Another more relevant suggestion was made
Eh they're going to keep rising I see no point in anyone making a suggestion now
The price should always be as accurate as possible. Just because keys keep rising doesn't mean that it's OK for bp to have an out of date price.
not sure if it helps or not but I traded 1 key for 39.44 ref like less than an hour ago.
All proof is helpful :)
https://imgur.com/a/T93wW63
A good start and a better effort than most of the others that attempt quick maffs ("keys are <x> from the store so they should be <y> refined" type suggestions). ScrapTF's supplies have been so dry lately with all the rises that I gave up on hitting refresh every now and again for flipping opportunities. STN's buy price is within line, but their sell price (and consequently their margin) is definitely out there, at least right now, but I guess that's just to keep some amount of keys available.
Overall I'd wait and see for a day or two before voting either way, but there's definitely hints of a plateau forming around or in your range. Some of those 38 refined listings are quicksells, those should be discarded from the picture.
The suggested price fits the market rather well.
The price no longer fits as well as it did, when I made the comment. A new, more up to date suggestion, might be a good idea.
Would you suggest I close this and reprice at 39.44-39.55 (or somewhere similar), or just let it run its course?
Looks like market has shifted to 39.44-39.55.
This was to a buy-order around 12 hours ago and prices have remained steady https://prnt.sc/l2angp
STN is buying keys at 39.44 , which fits the range: https://imgur.com/a/MHkdq60
Buy orders on backpack are now 39.55 (as of writing), same with sellers.
Dont be rude. He didnt make it more expensive. He just make the price siggestion.
The keys are being priced at what they're being sold at - he's not making them more expensive, nor is he a moron for doing so.
http://prntscr.com/l351om - Bought 1 for 39.55 ref
Tradeforfull has run out of keys
2x autobuying bots for 39.66 now and nearly two pages of buyers for 39.55
2 full pages and a bit of buyers for 39.66 now.
This one should probably be closed now. Too late to accept and not have it outdated at this point, bots have already gone 39.88 - 40.00
I really miss the old days when you could actually swim with keys
Suggestion is too old. Someone has to remake it.
https://gyazo.com/9f90dbfc694bd0bbbf9f8021ca81ef30