smile because taunts are dropping :)

Using last month.

Sales 1-3:

Sold for $24.99 (2x) & $12 on marketplace.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/30761;5;u3006

http://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2018-10-11 - $24.99 / $1.78 = 14.04 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2018-10-02 - $12 / $1.8 = 6.67 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2018-10-01 - $24.99 / $1.83 = 13.66 keys

X = 14 (2x)

X = 6.5

Sale 4:

Sold for 10 keys + cheap items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065529310#!/compare/1538697600/1539129600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042293805#!/compare/1538611200/1538697600

https://backpack.tf/item/5008723890

X = 10

Sale 5:

Sold for 8 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal/items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312583107#!/compare/1538524800/1538611200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198445022438#!/compare/1538524800/1538611200

https://i.imgur.com/v1t4hIa.png - labelled as 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/5008723890

X = 8.5

Sale 6:

Sold for 7 keys to some bot service

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258264645#!/compare/1539129600/1539216000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1539129600/1539216000

https://backpack.tf/item/5095095272

X = 7

Sale 7:

Sold for 6 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198407315884#!/compare/1538870400/1538956800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028171245#!/compare/1538697600/1538870400

https://backpack.tf/item/5293783149

X = 6

Sale 8:

Sold for Steaming Hermes + ~1-2 keys in items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198445022438#!/compare/1538611200/1538697600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065529310#!/compare/1538438400/1538697600

https://backpack.tf/item/5008723890

Would rather not use this sale without a B/O.

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/6698807346 (#1-3)

https://backpack.tf/item/5293783149 (#4)

https://backpack.tf/item/5095095272 (#5)

https://backpack.tf/item/5008723890 (#6)

https://backpack.tf/item/5006162941 - gambled and other ugly stuff

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113899098#!/compare/1538265600/1538352000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042951716#!/compare/1538179200/1538352000

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042951716#!/compare/1538179200/1538352000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168863803#!/compare/1538265600/1538352000

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168863803#!/compare/1538265600/1538352000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194169942#!/compare/1538265600/1538352000

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028171245#!/compare/1538611200/1538697600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198407315884#!/compare/1538352000/1538784000

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076515182#!/compare/1539129600/1539302400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258264645#!/compare/1539129600/1539216000

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032763715#!/compare/1537920000/1538265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312583107#!/compare/1537833600/1537920000

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/bTJYKFq.png

https://backpack.tf/item/5293783149 - 16 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/30761;5;u3006

https://backpack.tf/item/7201068426 - $23 on marketplace.tf (~13 keys)

Sales at:

6

6.5

7

8.5

10

14 (2x)

A range of 6-14 would obviously be too wide, so I’ll be shortening the range here. We don’t have a whole lot that counters either end.

I’ll exclude the sale at 7, as it went to some quickbuying bot service thing. This would also mean excluding anything under 7.

Going to knock 14 out as well, it already looks like a bit of an outlier.

Going with 8.5-10.