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~57 keys
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Unusual Hat with No Name Circling Heart
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This suggestion was accepted by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Comments

Full of the love that might have blent out souls


Sale 1: quicksell

https://marketplace.tf/items/631;5;u19


Sale 2: 70k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038666068#!/compare/1538265600/1538352000


Sale 3: bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079821428#!/compare/1540339200/1540425600


Sale 4: OPlanets Luchadore + Neutron Brown Bomber + Spec Ks Aussie Grenade + 24 keys + 4 in sweets

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1540771200/1540857600


Neutron star brown bomber - 47 keys

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5be1f74444325a1f4154ceff


Luchadore - 18

Grenade - 13

24 keys

4 keys

total 106 keys

excluding due to unsolds for two months at 100


70 and 106, excluding 106

cheers

    Well, excluding 106 because of 2 unsolds isn`t really correct - they probably couln`t find their buyers yet. Moreover, how can it be excluded if such trade actually existed? And as for that quicksell - that bp is now empty, so it`s obvious it was quicksold for cahsing out. You proposed the price only by a quicksell. In that case, all unusuals must decrease in price all the time?

      "couldn't find their buyers yet?"

      what is that supposed to mean?

      Secondly, just because someone is cashing out doesn't mean that their hat was a quicksell.

        I mean that those 100-key sellers might disagree on the mixed 106-key offer (in case they were selling at that time at all) and decided to wait for a better one. That only 70-key trade shouldn`t affect the full price of the hat, seriously. Or at least, the suggestion should`ve been 70-106. I don`t really understand that logic of excluding. Both of the trades happened: 70-key one and 106-key mixed, so why excluding the highest and leaving only the lowest?

          Because the way unusual suggesting works is this:

          If a hat sells at a certain price, call it x,

          and the same hat sits unsold below x for at least one month,

          it's safe to say x is an outlier, as it can't sell at that price now.

          Due to 100 being unsold for two months, it's safe to say that a sale at 106 is an outlier, as it physically can't sell at 106 or 100.

          Therefore, 70 is the only usable sale here.

    more sales


    61 - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029105919#!/compare/1542153600/1542240000 - at buyers, low


    Sold for a Mallard Outdoorsman + Searing Football Helm + 8 Keys = Both hats need minis

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105689468#!/compare/1541980800/1542153600


    check for some minis on the 2 hats in the second sale, see if we can make a range here.


      Your comment on the three month mallard suggested it be put at 32-34, which means even if the football helmet was still 12 (which has been unsold for a month at 12), this would be put below quickbuys

        that was 3 months ago, the market can change, you should still attempt to see if there are any valid minis on it

    another sale


    Sold for a Peace Cone (while 3 months outdated, 3 sellers for less, would def wanna see a mini here) + Mega Strike Taunt: Yeti Punch (lots of sellers at 6, could take 6 and be fine) + 10 Keys =

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050933686#!/compare/1541894400/1541980800


    Could def see getting a high end after getting a proper Cone mini, so see what you can find on that.

      bumping my comment again since the sale i commented with can for sure be used.

        It can but I don't see a proper high end coming out of it. Cone unsold at 54k, which if it did sell would put it a key above current. I'll work on the mini

          I think the sale will end up supporting 70. Discussed with other mods (including Randy) and they agree. Accepting as such.