Suggestion: Burning Flames Crit Cloak at 105–121 keys

Price Suggestion

~190 keys

burning

86 votes up

23 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Tue, 18 Dec 18 18:20:19 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Burning Flames Crit Cloak, as someone said "This awesome hat with 1st gen effect price should go up! It Should Match Rack Price!…"

Well let's see ^^

Market status:

https://imgur.com/a/AeMdXG7

The sales from this hat https://backpack.tf/item/6255272461 won't be included after the sale to Spookjak on Fri, 14 Sep 2018 because it went to scammers and tons of alts.

The hat is currently on a swap.gg bot http://prntscr.com/lgrdzd if it sells then I will resugg.

Sale #1 -

Sold for 121 keys pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045358108#!/compare/1537228800/1537488000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030343929#!/compare/1537401600/1537488000

Sale #2 -

Untrace -

I'm guessing it was sold with Harvest Moon Glengarry Bonne + Cool Backwoods Boomstick Shotgun (Factory New) for a duped Strange Sunbeams Bonk Boy.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074924284#!/compare/1536796800/1536883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1536796800/1536883200

Sale #3 -

1:1 for a Bubbling Head Prize

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154624508#!/compare/1537574400/1537660800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070838770#!/compare/1537488000/1537660800

Mini for Bubbling Head Prize

Sold for 400 $ on mp.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/30838;5;u34/Bubbling%20Head%20Prize

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2018-10-10n Keys were 1.78$

400/1.78 = ~224.72 rouding to 225 keys

Price suggestion accepted on 14/11.

Sale #4 -

1:1 for Strange Scorching Flames Tundra Top

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198356834968#!/compare/1538438400/1538524800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198805549376#!/compare/1538438400/1538524800

Use there.

Sale #5 -

Sold for 120 Keys pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198828381453#!/compare/1539648000/1539734400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046921199#!/compare/1539648000/1539734400

Sale #6 -

Sold for 105 Keys pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046921199#!/compare/1542067200/1542153600

Sales at 105, 120, 121 & 225.

Excluding 225 as high outlier and we have a seller at 140 in classifieds.

Going with 105-121.

105 seems kinda close to buy orders, might have been to a buy order. I'd go 120 flat tbh, mabey there can be a range established with new sales

105 being around 10% above buy orders I decided to keep it, I might be wrong for doing so but this is my inital thought, will see how it goes.

Sale 2 was probably for shotgun and bonnet. Not that it mattera

All those sales were quicksells i belive? Not sure but i kinda feel it !

I myself have bought this hat as a quicksell offer for 140 Keys!

that's common trade point

Proof of the 140 keys sale ?

rip, mang :(

So if this should match rack price, why not drop the rack to 105 - 121 keys ez

Feel free to send the idea to this guy then https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5bbce478cf6c75622e2aa673

Big yikes for me.

Sold for 181 mp

Thank you for the information.

New sale:

Sold for 181$ on mp.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/30899;5;u13/Burning%20Flames%20Crit%20Cloak

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2018-11-24 Keys at 1.73 so far.

181/1.73 =~104.6 Rounding to 105

Falls into the range and supports the drop.

I quickbought it for 181$ it was a quicksell

First 105 key was not a quicksell nor a buy order - it was my trade.

I bought it for 120 thinking it was a good deal. Had it for a good while, didn't get any decent offers on it, nobody wanted it because it IS overpriced. This range is fitting in my eyes as a previous owner.

I agree that it's overpriced but you quicksold it to me, so i don't know what are you talking about.

oh i did?? i'm just not sure how much of a qs ig really was :)))

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047636129#!/compare/1544486400/1544572800 sold for a PE gibus here

https://backpack.tf/item/6390798076 perhaps sales here? not sure as it seemed to have been passed around very fast, and the commenting user above has owned it on several occasions where it moved back to him so idk.

As an aside, Ive noticed that the 105 sale is the person that bought it for 120 dumping it for less in pure than he paid; Idont think its a good idea to use that here.

Gibus trade would be 140 keys.

Sold for 98 in pure - untrace on the other side.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198820728761#!/compare/1542067200/1544745600

Sold for 93 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1544659200/1544745600

Another sale at 98 pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056552541#!/compare/1544745600/1544832000

With this new data points I'd exclude the Gibus sale and stick with the 105-121keys range.

That still doesn't account for my last point made, which is the key point disproving the whole suggestion.

I kinda doubt the first two sales (the buyer from the first and the seller from the second is a known quickbuyer, why would he buy at 98 and sell at 93?). the seller from the first sale also claimed to have paid 140, though idk how solid that is. Both last sales are buy order sales undoubtedly, regardless.

Marketplace buy orders (see few comments back) indicate 105 could be low too.

Im not sure I want this updated purely based on a negative flip and a string buyers selling it to one another. I mean, it evidently needs a drop, but Im not a fan of that approach. Ill drop a message to the other mods what they think though

Discussed with the other mods as well; they agree that going 140 based on the gibus sale to make it a conservative drop is more appropriate here