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Time to get a nice little blue moon hat priced
Sale 1: 156k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025018960#!/compare/1540598400/1540771200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019444465#!/compare/1540684800/1540771200
Time Warp Anger + Blizz Rotation + PROKS Aussie Sniper
All recently priced
Sale 2: quickbuy
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091133177#!/compare/1540857600/1540944000
Below quickbuy values in unusual. Exclude
Sale 3: 110k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091133177#!/compare/1540944000/1541030400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996306396#!/compare/1540944000/1541030400
GBH Texas Ten-Gallon
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077875601#!/compare/1538438400/1538697600
PE Burning Beanie + Searing Caribou
Look literally everywhere you'd like, but I can't find a mini for the searing caribou. Excluding
Marketplace sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/30974;5;u14
$300 on 10/1
Excluding due to mastikhor's unsold for a month at the same price
https://backpack.tf/item/6855137941
Taking 110-156 here
Cheers
u cant exclude a sale because of another seller at the same price
Why should I include 166k if it evidently can't sell for 166k again, after a month of being posted?
Because its a sale and also keys on marketplace today are 1.72$ which means my 299.99$ list price = 175 keys.
Also with sales at 80,110,156,166,200+ 110 should be the outlier not 166
You really have no way of proving 110 is an outlier, and no real way of proving the burning beanie sale is anywhere close to 200 either.
I agree with mastikhor here - with these sales, I think 110 will end up being the outlier.
The beanie and caribou sale will likely back up the 150-160 data points as well (just for clarity, the pan and degreaser were added too, as well as 5 keys). Even taking both hats at quickbuyers price, that'd be above 110 already, and at current that reaches the ~200s. It may not be solid enough to be included in the range, but it seems more than reasonable to assume it could function as supportive evidence, and at current value, it'd be the high end outlier counterpart of the 110 sale.