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First price suggestion, please be gentle ;)
Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/item/7314877147
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204505424#!/compare/1541808000/1541894400
(just realized compare shows only 60 keys in trade, yet screenshot confirm trade of 80 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094126723#!/compare/1541808000/1541894400
(you can see Siilph obtaining 80 keys yet no sight of unusual removed)
Screenshot of trade
Sold for 80 keys pure
Sale #2:
https://backpack.tf/item/7290376100
https://marketplace.tf/items/30964;5;u115/The%20Eldritch%20Opening%20Polar%20Bear
Sold for 149.99$
08 Nov - 1.77/key - 84.74 keys
13 Nov - 1.75/key - 85.70 keys
14 Nov - 1.74/key - 86.20 keys
21 Nov - 1.72/key - 87.20 keys
Range 85-87 keys. Taking 86 as median price (85.7+86.20/2=85.95)
Suggesting range 80-86 keys
It sold on marketplace for $149.99 on Nov 11, so just take the key price of Nov 11 which was $1.77
$149.99 / $1.77 = ~85 keys
Barely a difference, so it shouldn't be worth to resuggest I would think
Price of a key on november 11th was same as on 8th. Picked 8th because that was a date when seller put his unusual for sale.
I wouldn't pick flat key price from 11th because you can see how fast key price is changing with each day. IMO almost 2 recent weeks median price is more acceptable.