Price Suggestion
~645 keys
burning
Unusual Le Party Phantom Burning Flames
87 votes up
16 votes down
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Comments

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1537920000/1538006400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198836867687#!/compare/1537920000/1538006400

Sold for PE Beret + GE Phantom(95)


Beret Mini:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5c1cff21cf6c752be941067b

Suggestion for 43 keys


Total is 138 keys


Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823736236#!/compare/1544140800/1544227200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382999212#!/compare/1543881600/1544313600

Sold for PE Casemaker(172.5) + ~19 keys in sweets (Loch is spelled, lowest listing for 4 keys)


Total is 191.5 keys


Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382999212#!/compare/1545177600/1545264000

Sold for Scorching Tundra(147.5) + 20 keys

Total is 167.5 keys


Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267173308#!/compare/1543104000/1543363200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144352975#!/compare/1543276800/1543363200

Sold with Aussie Minigun(18) for Miami Pullover(165) + 5 keys


Total is 170 keys


Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123899074#!/compare/1540598400/1540684800

Sold for 120 keys


Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1538352000/1538438400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072140772#!/compare/1538179200/1538438400

Sold for GE Phantom(95) + 2 keys


Total is 97 keys


Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072140772#!/compare/1540166400/1540252800

Untrace


Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054945991#!/compare/1543190400/1544400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166314775#!/compare/1544227200/1544400000

Sold for Scorching Crit Cloak(160) + sweets


Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166314775#!/compare/1544832000/1545264000

Sold for Strange Clair Rotation

Use there.


Sale 10:

https://marketplace.tf/items/337;5;u13

Sold for 252.7 USD

Keys at 1.77 USD

Total is 142.77 keys


Total sales @:

97, 120, 138, 142.77, 167.5, 170, 191.5


I'm willing to bet most high sales have B/O that I can't find.

Going with 120 flat.

Another sale at ~140 keys...

https://marketplace.tf/items/337;5;u13

> 249.77 /1.75

> ~143 keys

    I'm aware buy orders made after the suggestion aren't a valid display of proof, but considering this: https://gyazo.com/c776ece75672a3744377d78308222744 along with all the other sales in the comments, this is low.

      The fact that so many of them seem to sell to buyers for this amount is actually the only thing that makes me consider this, though I guess I'll keep to my original comment:


      This whole suggestion does not call for a flat value. You have 7 sales, only one of which is 120. The mean, mode and median are nowhere near 120; outliers aren't properly balanced. The seller screenshot (which seems to be the foundation of your arguments here) posted below does not show if the sellers are clean or duped. Im not saying the high sales can't be too high and am not denying the possibility that they'd have been BO capped, nor am I saying that the sellers here don't mean anything (since one was clean for sure), but the evidence that 120 is an appropriate value here is too weak for me to accept this.


      This suggestion mostly proves that this hat's sales are all over the place, and unless new sales have provided a more concise range I would call to leave this outdated, because with these sales I would say no update is better than to list 120 as its current common trading point.

        Understood, closing.