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Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446548676#!/compare/1540684800/1540771200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114833478#!/compare/1540684800/1540771200 use there
Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446548676#!/compare/1541635200/1541721600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1541548800/1541635200 qs for pure
Sale 3: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198352760087#!/compare/1543622400/1543708800 other side hasnt loaded, untrace
Sale 4: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198352760087#!/compare/1543708800/1543795200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093302770#!/compare/1543190400/1543708800 11 keys and negligable sweets
Sale 5: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093302770#!/compare/1543708800/1544140800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198904457#!/compare/1544054400/1544140800 14 pure
Sale 6: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167637295#!/compare/1544227200/1544313600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198904457#!/compare/1544227200/1544313600 bulkish, use there
Sale 7: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167637295#!/compare/1544400000/1544486400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198364475021#!/compare/1544400000/1544486400 use there
Sale 8: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198364475021#!/compare/1544486400/1544572800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072355915#!/compare/1544486400/1544572800 used there
Sale 9: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198403447740#!/compare/1539820800/1540252800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024867201#!/compare/1539734400/1539820800 untrace
https://marketplace.tf/items/600;5;u36 Sales 10-13
Oct 23: 23.16$ 1.78 keyprice
Nov. 4: 16.11$ 1.77 keyprice
Nov. 9: 23.99 1.78 keyprice
Dec. 23: 16.11 1.7 keyprice
23.16/1.78=13
16.11/1.77=9
23.99/1.78=13
16.11/1.7=9.5
Sales at 9 and 9.5 are countered by buyers
11, 13 13 and 14 were all pure/cash, 14 is high looking at the market, but given it supports 13 and theres 2 13 sales, i dont think 13 is ignorable, going with 11-13
11 was a quicksell, it literally took hours to sell
2 being sold by zol at 11.45, another one on mptf at 20.99, with keys at 1.8 this comes out to like 11.66 keys. Sellers suggest that 11 was purely luck rather than something that can consistently happen.
With 3 for sale at ~11, I'm more inclined to agree with Torb here. This suggestion also already seems overpriced as is with 12 being unsold for half a month+.